October 20, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Even if House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin reach a deal on a new coronavirus rescue and stimulus package sometime in the next week or two, it will die in the Senate if Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has anything to say about it. Today at...
October 20, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The Standard & Poor's 500 was up by as much as 1.42% at 1:48 p.m. New York time today on hope that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin would agree on a stimulus deal by Pelosi's deadline of the end of today for passing a bill by the...
October 17, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
On Friday, the daily total for new coronavirus cases in the United States hit 70,450. That's the highest daily figure since July 24. Â At least nine states set single-day case records on Friday: Wyoming, Minnesota, Wisconsin, West Virginia, North Dakota, Indiana, New...
October 15, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The number of new unemployment claims in regular state-run programs rose last week to a seasonally adjusted 898,000. That's up 50,000 for the prior week and the biggest increase in first-time unemployment claims since August. The economy has clearly stalled with new...
October 9, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Even as Hurricane Delta bears down on the Gulf Coast, oil prices fell today on news that oil workers in Norway had settled a strike that had shut down about 8% of the country’s production. The settlement will restore production at six fields already shut down by the...
October 1, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
The economic news today was at best "not terrible." Initial claims for unemployment for the week showed a job market recovery that has stalled. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi adjourned their talks for another day without bridging the...
September 28, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
And while I'm speaking of news flow that could determine the stock market trend, I'd be remiss if I didn't mentioned the monthly jobs report for September that's due for release on Friday, October 2. That report will start with one piece of bad news already baked in....
September 24, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Stocks moved up modestly this morning (modest considering the damage down in the last few days) with the Standard & Poor's 500 up 0.99% at 1 p.m. New York time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ahead 0.94%, and the NASDAQ Composite gaining 1.16%. The move seems to...
September 23, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
I've argued that there are two giant bets that support stock prices at recent historic levels. One is the Vaccine Put, the belief in the delivery--and relatively soon too--of a safe and effective coronavirus vaccine that will let economies around the world return to...
September 23, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Tuesday night the House of Representatives passed a stopgap funding bill to keep the government operating through December 11. The House vote was 359-57 and the legislation now goes to the Senate for a vote before the end of the fiscal year on September 30 forces a...
September 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
This morning it looked like we might not get the bounce I expected today after the Monday morning sell off and Monday afternoon recovery. The NASDAQ, dominated by the big tech names most likely to bounce today, started Tuesday off in a mild downturn. As of 11:07 a.m....
September 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Pfizer (PFE) and its partner BioNTech (BNTX) plan to take a first look at the efficacy results from their 44,000 personal vaccine trial as soon as September 27. But that first look will be after just 32 coronavirus infections have accumulated in the two companies'...