January 6, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Land sales in major Chinese cities hit a record high in 2019, according to Caixin Global. Revenue from land sales revenue in 50 cities last year grew to a record 4.2 trillion yuan ($601.6 billion) as of Dec. 26, marking a jump of 17.6% from the same period in 2018,...
January 3, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Yesterday the private Markit/Caixin Purchasing Managers Index showed that China's manufacturing sector expanded in December. The 51.5 reading put the sector into expansion territory (anything above 50 marks an expansion) but was slightly below the 51.7 level forecast...
December 30, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Trading volumes will be low and investors attentions will be focused elsewhere than the financial markets, but this is a week with a surprising amount of market news. Tomorrow, Tuesday December 31, China announces the official Purchasing Managers Index for...
December 26, 2019 | Daily JAM |
It looks like looser monetary policy is on the way in China for 2020. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said Monday the government will study further cutting bank reserve requirements in 2020. It's a good bet that the Premier would have raised the possible policy change if...
December 23, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
We've got two short weeks coming up--since the New York markets are closed this week for Christmas and next week for New Year's--when trading volumes shrink and it doesn't take much in the way of news to move stocks up or down. I think we got that dose of "sufficient...
December 20, 2019 | Daily JAM, Long Term |
Hengfeng Bank has announced that it will sell 100 billion shares in a private placement to raise cash. This is the third Chinese commercial lender to receive government assistance since May. Investors in the deal will include Central Huijin Investment (60 billion...
December 18, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The new head of the International Monetary Fund, Kristalina Georgieva, has told China's Caixin Global news service, that she expects the Part 1 agreement to boost China's GDP growth to 6% in 2020. That would be an increase from the IMF's previous projection of 5.8%...
September 25, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
The manufacturing sector--thanks to the U.S.-China trade war--continues to slow China’s economy. But the real problem may be an underperformance in the services sector that makes it impossible for that sector to pick up the slack. The end result is that the third...
September 17, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
The assumption in Chinese financial markets has been that if the data showed the Chinese economy slowing further, the People's Bank would ride to the rescue with increased stimulus. Well, the data did it's part on Monday. Industrial output rose just 4.4% year over...
July 30, 2019 | Daily JAM, FQVLF, Stock Alerts |
First Quantum Minerals (FQVLF) is tricky for bottom fishers. If the challenge with Illumina (ILM), my #2 pick for my 5 Bottom Fishing Picks Special Report, is figuring out when the bad news will all be in the stock--hence making it a good buy for bottom fishers, the...
July 15, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Of course, we can't trust China's official GDP statistics. Government economists cook the books so that China's growth stays within the goals set by the country's leaders every year. But investors should pay attention to the trend. And this quarter the trend is...
July 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Trade analysts call Singapore's export-driven economy the canary in the coal mine for the global economy. In which case that canary is looking kind of wobbly lately. Singapore's GDP contracted at an annualized 3.4% rate in the second quarter. That's the biggest...