More bad news from Europe strikes at heart of Meta’s Facebook business

More bad news from Europe strikes at heart of Meta’s Facebook business

On Wednesday, January 4, European Union regulators decided that Facebook and Instagram, both properties of Meta Platforms (META), had illegally forced users to accept personalized ads. The fine of 390 million euros ($314 million) isn’t by any means the most damaging part of the decision. The company could be forced to make costly changes to its advertising-based business in the European Union, one of its largest markets and home to 450 million people. And the company could either be forced by regulators in other countries or decide to make the changes on its own to its global business that would turn the European Union decision into a defacto global standard.

Video: Facebook – It’s a Feature, Not a Bug

Video: Facebook – It’s a Feature, Not a Bug

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Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

Back to normal today? And a reminder of what normal is

With all available officials on deck today in Beijing and Washington to talk down fears of a trade war and to talk up prospects for trade talks, the U.S. financial markets have returned to “normal.” And what is “normal” right now? A 0.47% gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index as tech shares recover with Facebook (FB) up 1.81% and Amazon (AMZN) up 2.62%. Normal is also a down day for Treasuries

Notes You Need for April 9: Retail closings, GenZ buying preferences, Pinterest IPO, FB target price, 5G chips, IMF global GDP forecast

Notes You Need for March 29: German inflation, TSLA production short again, Facebook, ACXM, soybeans vs. corn, AT&T vs CSCO

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don’t justify a full post. I’ve decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I’m calling Notes You Need. A representative entry resembles this from today: “10:40 a.m.: Tesla (TSLA) is coping with what looks like another quarter of lagging production for its Model 3. Deutsche Bank is projecting that production averaged just 800 cars a week in the first quarter. The weekly run rate, the bank’s analysts say, is now approaching 1,100 cars. That’s well short of the 2,500 cars a week that CEO Elon Musk had targeted for the first quarter. I’m not sure that this will be a big surprise to Tesla investors.”

Facebook closes down 18.96% on the day

So what’s behind today’s plunge in U.S. stocks?

This isn’t going to sound very technical or sophisticated but to me the day feels like one where lots of traders and investors decided that they just couldn’t see any near term upside and in the absence of that upside they decided to sell. This pessimism strikes me as a delayed reaction to yesterday’s Fed meeting and a new dot plot that showed increased sentiment at the Federal Reserve for at least two more and possibly three more interest rate increases in 2018–and more rate increases to come in 2019 and 2020. In this context the President’s China tariff proposal isn’t the killer but rather just one more negative element.