December 30, 2018 | Daily JAM |
... everything in the way of economic news to get crammed into Thursday and Friday after a quiet start to the week. On Thursday, investors and traders get news on initial claims for unemployment (How strong is the job market?), the purchasing managers index for the...
December 20, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve delivered the worst of both world's, as far as Wall Street is concerned. And the 25 basis point increase in benchmark interest rates doesn't even count--since that was what the market was expecting. First, the Fed drew attention to...
December 19, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Here's what the New York market is hoping for from the Federal Reserve this afternoon. An interest rate increase of 25 basis points New growth projections that show the Fed believes the economy is slowing somewhat. (This is a "good" since it would provide...
December 17, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Maybe that should be "wild cards." First, there's President Donald Trump's threat to shut down about 25% of the government on December 22 if Congress doesn't include $5 billion for his border wall in its bill to fund such government units as the Department of Homeland...
December 15, 2018 | Uncategorized |
... words to count. Big time. Everyone, including my Aunt Tilly, expects that the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark interest rate 25 basis points at the Wednesday, December 19, meeting of the Open Market Committee. The CME FedWatch tool, which uses prices in...
December 12, 2018 | Daily JAM |
The core Consumer Price Index (CPI), a broad inflation measure that excludes volatile Food and energy prices, rose 0.2% in November from October. This core inflation rate is now up 2.2% over the last 12 months, an increase from a 2.1% rate in October, according to the...
December 10, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
I dare you to find something global financial markets aren't worried about. And, moreover, many of the worries are re-enforcing each other today. So, for example, we've got U.S. Trade Representative Robert E. Lighthizer, saying on Sunday TV the the 90 day trade truce...
December 9, 2018 | Daily JAM |
... a week of transition in the financial markets as the debacle of the post-Trump-Xi announcements moves further behind in the rear view mirror and the December 19 meeting of the Federal Reserve looms ever larger ahead. Last week, doubts that the Chinese had actually...
December 7, 2018 | Daily JAM |
The Federal Reserve's interest rate setting body, the Open Market Committee, meets on December 19 to 1) decide on a 25 basis point boost in benchmark interest rate, and 2) to tell financial markets what to expect on interest rate increases for 2019. It's No. 2 that's...
December 7, 2018 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
This morning the November jobs report came in softer than expected--and that pretty much removed the last factor pushing the Federal Reserve toward aggressively raising interest rates in 2019. For November the economy added 155,000 jobs. That is still a strong...
December 4, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Today markets are seeing a pullback as investors and traders have been left scratching their heads about exactly what, if anything, was agreed during the meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. (With some added nervousness because...
November 30, 2018 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Gold futures...