U.S. stocks mark time waiting for Friday’s jobs report for May

With U.S. stocks bumping up against the top of the recent trading range of 2100 on the Standard & Poor’s 500 index–and near the May 2015 all-time high for the index at 2135–markets need good news to push stock prices higher. But every piece of good news also increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its June 15 or July 27 meetings

Goldilocks confronts a disappointing April jobs report

Under some circumstances you’d expect a weak jobs number to send markets higher because it would signal that the Federal Reserve will put off the next interest rate increase. But not today. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was off slightly, by 0.07%, as of 11:30 a.m. New York time. The Standard & Poor’s 500 slipped 0.18%. That’s because markets have already priced in a one or none scenario for 2016.

The March jobs report welcomes back Goldilocks

Just enough weakness in the report–the number of Americans working part-time but looking for full-time work rose by 135,000 to 6.12 million, the highest since August–to let the market believe that any interest rate increase will be modest and is a long way off. And just enough strength–215,000 new jobs added in March–to keep up confidence in the U.S. economy.