March 3, 2020 | Daily JAM, VGSH |
I'd wager that almost nobody today is buying U.S. Treasuries for their yield. The yield on the 10-year Treasury broke below 1% to 0.9043% for the first time EVER. The 10-year finished the day with a yield of 1.01%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury fell to a low of...
March 1, 2020 | Daily JAM |
On the comment board for my Friday night post on the odds of a March 18 interest rate cut, Jem, a reader and prolific, insightful, and valued poster of comments, noted that the market has now reached a 61.8% retracement from recent highs to the December  2018 low....
February 28, 2020 | Daily JAM |
It was just four sentences--“The fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain strong. However, the coronavirus poses evolving risks to economic activity. The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring developments and their implications for the economic outlook. We will use our...
February 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
This morning it looked like U.S. stocks would bounce from the drop of Monday and Tuesday--about 6% on the Standard & Poor's 500. As of 10:51 a.m. New York time the index was up 1.64% to 3182.08. But that has turned out to be the high of the day. By 12:18 p.m. the...
February 24, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
What's different this week? Why is the market plunging today on coronavirus fears when last week it shook off the news? Because the last few days have brought news that the coronavirus isn't limited to China anymore. From Italy comes a report that the Armani fashion...
February 23, 2020 | Daily JAM |
... the worsening news on the spread of the coronavirus to push yields on U.S. Treasuries even lower as investors and traders look for safe havens. On Friday the yield on the 30-year Treasury set a new all-time low below 1.90% before closing the day at 1.91%. The...
January 31, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
As of 3 p.m. in New York today, the Standard & Poor's 500 was down 1.56% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lower by 1.89%. The NASDAQ Composite was holding up better with only a 1.27% drop. The small cap Russell 2000 continued as the weakest of the major...
January 21, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
News that a mysterious respiratory virus in China has infected medical workers, a sign that the virus has entered a new phase wherein it spreads from person to person, rocked Asian financial markets today. The death toll has climbed to six and China today raised the...
November 15, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The White House rolled out another round of its ongoing soap opera "As the Deal Turns." starring, this week Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow (again.) The stock market yawned. “If you look at whenever they say ‘trade war is...
November 5, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury climbed another 10 basis points today to 1.85%. The yield is now up 32 basis points in the last month, although it is still down 135 basis points in a year. That leaves the yield on the 10-year Treasury 40 basis points above its...
November 1, 2019 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
How dry is the current low yield desert Awfully dry. And likely to get drier. Which raises this question: How can income investors find higher returns? Providing three answers to that is the subject of this special report. Let's start with the dryness of the desert....
October 16, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
It would be an overstatement, in my opinion, to say the market is trendless. I think there's a definite and but unspectacular bias to the upside in the short-term--four weeks, say. It would be accurate, however, to say, there's not much conviction to that trend. So...
