March 28, 2017 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
After last week’s defeat of the American Health Care Act, the looming battle over funding the U.S. government past the April 28 deadline is critical. If the package that finally passes doesn’t include anything from the Trump administration’s wish list, then I think a financial market that has climbed on a belief in a big corporate tax cut and some kind of infrastructure plan, will start to lose some of the “animal spirits” that have driven U.S. stocks higher.
November 17, 2016 | Daily JAM, Long Term, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
In his campaign Donald Trump promised to kill the Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal and renegotiate NAFTA. Countries like China and Mexico faced the prospect of crippling tariffs on their goods. That left international economists deeply worried about a slowdown in global trade, a slowdown that might be sufficient to produce a global recession. Well, don’t worry. Even before Trump won the November 8 election globe trade had started to slow.
