April 3, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
Today, Wednesday April 3, action in the three legs that support stocks near the highs for 2019 pointed toward significant risk for Thursday and Friday. The Standard & Poor's 500 index closed the day up 0.21% at 2873. Leg 1 for the market: The financials, the...
March 17, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. An...
March 13, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Orders for durable goods rose 0.4% in January, the Census Bureau reported this morning. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had projected a 0.6% decrease. Ex-transportation new orders, which means excluding volatile aircraft orders (for January remember and therefore...
February 11, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Investors and traders looking to hedge against the risk that U.S. stocks will take a tumble (or worse) are rushing to buy bonds. Let week another $490 million flowed in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.) That brought the inflow for 2019 to date as of...
January 28, 2019 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VIX, Volatility |
Over the weekend in my Trick or Trend post I noted that S&P 500 volatility was experiencing a very unusual inversion--where the markets were projecting more risk in the next week than for longer periods like a month or two. And, I posited, that inversion wasn't...
January 27, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, Mid Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. You've...
January 22, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Remember last week? Markets were running over with optimism that growth in the U.S. and global economies continue strong in 2019, that the U.S.-China trade war was headed to a resolution, that earnings growth in reports for the fourth quarter would be above...
January 17, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
Did you see what happened in Hong Kong overnight? The major Hong Kong Index, the Hang Seng was down slightly, dropping 0.54% on the session. But a smaller group of stocks in the Hong Kong market got slaughtered. Jiayuan International Group, Sunshine 100 China Holdings...
January 2, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
It's not just China anymore. Unfortunately. The Caixin Media and IHS Markit Purchasing Managers Index for China's manufacturing sector fell to 49.7 in December  from 50.2, its lowest reading since May 2017. That confirms a trend seen in the official government PMI on...
December 31, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VIX, Volatility |
I'm taking advantage of the 25% drop in the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) to add March 19, 2019 Call Options at a strike price of $26.00 (VIX190319C00026000) to my Volatility Portfolio today. Â The VIX, otherwise know as the fear index, climbs when investors...
December 26, 2018 | Daily JAM, NFLX, Short Term, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...
December 21, 2018 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Special Reports |
This Special Report was revised--extensively- on December 21. When I posted the first version of this Special Report back in November, the bear market was just a possibility--although a highly likely possibility--and my best projection on how the market would develop...