No progress in debt ceiling talks today–only 12 working days left until Treasury’s September 29 deadline
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Intraday volatility picks up: What’s the message (if any)?
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Volatility is absent in the S&P, but pops up in the NASDAQ ahead of tech earnings
I’d call the market mood “odd” right now. It’s maybe “hopeful fear.” Or maybe “fearful hope.” Nobody wants to move to the sidelines in case the rally is going to continue. Nobody wants to be too long just in case we’re looking at a pullback or correction. The focus of this uncertainty is the big technology stocks of the NASDAQ
Stocks, especially tech stocks, show more volatility than closing prices indicate
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Tech slide continues casting doubt on “buy on the dip” strength
Anyone who bought technology stocks on the dip last Friday and Monday is feeling unhappy today. And that spells a worried market. Especially since key stocks in the sector such as Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) are showing signs of breaking through important support. The NASDAQ Composite Index is off 0.93% today as of 12:30 p.m. New York time.
Tech stocks down again but not a replay of Friday rout
The market is more anxious today but it doesn’t seem anywhere near panic country. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX), was up another 10% today (10.75% as of 1:30 to be exact) on top of a greater than 10% gain on Friday, but that’s a relatively restrained move considering that what is known as the “fear” index has been trading near record lows and that this index can tack on moves of 30% to 40% in a day when investors get really fearful.
Looking for risk in this market? Check out the financial sector
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Buy on the dip reflex is still in force today
Last night I posted that today would be critical for this market’s buy on the dip reflex. Yesterday’s move up after the Wednesday rout wasn’t convincing. As long as traders and investors treat any dip as an occasion for buying, it will be difficult for this market to build up any downside momentum. So far, today’s market action is a very strong vote in favor of the continued working of the buy on the dip reflex.
Volatility roars back today–but what about tomorrow?
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Oil back down this morning as “hedgies” reposition
So much for Monday’s oil rally. This morning, a day after Russia and Saudi Arabia succeeded in talking up oil prices with promises that OPEC and allied non-OPEC producers would extend the current production cuts past their June expiration until the end of 2017, U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate is down 0.8% to $46.06 a barrel and international benchmark Brent crude is off 0.81% to $48.94 a barrel as of noon in New York
Low volatility a threat to big bank earnings
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