Could this change in international shipping regulations push Brent crude to $90 a barrel by 2020?

Could this change in international shipping regulations push Brent crude to $90 a barrel by 2020?

This development that could push the price of international benchmark Brent crude to $90 wasn’t on my radar screen. It should be–and it should be on yours. (Brent closed up 1.08% today to $79.28 a barrel.) Oil analysts at Morgan Stanley are arguing that changes in the kind of fuel that ocean-going vessels use will result in an additional spike in the price of oil. That’s besides whatever goes on with Iran, the Middle East, and OPEC.

10-year Treasury yields hit 3.1%; is the bond rout accelerating?

10-year Treasury yields hit 3.1%; is the bond rout accelerating?

Not so long ago global cash seeking safety and liquidity was keeping the yield on the 10-year Treasury at 2.95% in spite of the huge budget deficit resulting from the December Tax Cuts & Jobs Act and the flood of bond sales by the U.S. Treasury and the prospect of more interest rate increases from the Fed. But now in the last two days 10-year Treasury yields have tacked on almost a full tenth of a percentage point and today the yield on the 10-year Treasury closed at 3.10%.

Notes You Need for May 15: TGT, NAFTA, Mexico election, China economy, 10-year Treasury yields at 3.06%, Korea summit, China Treasury holdings

Notes You Need for May 15: TGT, NAFTA, Mexico election, China economy, 10-year Treasury yields at 3.06%, Korea summit, China Treasury holdings

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don’t justify a full post. I’ve decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I’m calling Notes You Need. Today’s 10:20 post is a representative item: “10:20 a.m.: Target (TGT) has cut its next-day delivery fee nearly in half in one of the most visible efforts to capitalize on Amazon’s (AMZN) decision to raise the price of its annual Prime membership to $119 from $99. Target has dropped the delivery price for household essentials to $2.99 from $4.99 and waived it altogether for customers paying with a Target card. The Target Restock service lets shoppers get 35,000 everyday items like paper towels and baby food for a flat delivery fee. And as Target noted in announcing the cuts, “Membership fee? Nope.” Target has also teamed with Google Home to let customers restock with a voice command using Google’s Alexa.”

Drug stocks get de-risked after Trump’s plan shows no teeth

President Donald Trump speech last week on drug prices, what he billed as “the most sweeping action in history to lower the price of prescription drugs for the American people,” didn’t deliver any of the ghosts and goblins that drug makers feared. Drug stocks by and large climbed on the proposals. Which turns stocks in the drug sector into one of the most interesting places to stash money for the next six months for investors looking for decent upside and above average safety.

It looks we might get a China trade deal before one on NAFTA

It looks we might get a China trade deal before one on NAFTA

Today, House Speaker Paul Ryan announced a May 17 deadline for the Trump administration to submit a proposal NAFTA revision to Congress–if President Trump wants this Congress to vote on a revised agreement. The odds of an agreement emerging from current talks and moving on to Congress on that schedule are just about nil. At the same time news of significant horse trading is coming out of U.S.-China trade talks.