Trick or Trend: NAFTA? Remember NAFTA? The deadline for negotiating a new deal nears

Trick or Trend: NAFTA? Remember NAFTA? The deadline for negotiating a new deal nears

I know it’s hard to pay attention to NAFTA while we’re anticipating President Donald Trump’s sit down with North Korea’s President Kim and pondering the effects of the President’s decision to pull the U.S. out of the Iran nuclear deal, but the talks to negotiate a new deal with Mexico and Canada on NAFTA are getting very, very close to a deadline.  And it looks like there won’t be an agreement in time for Congress to vote. No one, however, is quite sure what that would mean.

Consumer sentiment stays strong–with a few worrisome wrinkles

Consumer sentiment stays strong–with a few worrisome wrinkles

The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey showed the index holding steady with the final reading for April of 98.8. That means the index remains near a 14-year high. A good thing, I’d say.n But there was some slippage that suggests keeping a close watch on the index and the economy–and especially on inflation expectations.

Israel/Iran exchange of fire near Golan Heights supports oil; worries about Saudi production increase weigh on market

Israel/Iran exchange of fire near Golan Heights supports oil; worries about Saudi production increase weigh on market

Oil prices are little changed so far today with West Texas Intermediate off 0.04% to $71.11 a barrel as of noon New York time and international benchmark Brent down 0.06% to $77.16 a barrel. The exchange of rockets and bombs between Iranian forces in Syria and Israeli units in the Golan Heights certainly ratcheted up fear of spreading conflict in the Middle East. That would ordinarily have been enough to send oil prices higher on the day

Notes You Need for May 9: Qualcomm quits, Iran fallout, WMT and FlipKart, whole sale inflation, Treasury auction, California roof top solar

Notes You Need for May 9: Qualcomm quits, Iran fallout, WMT and FlipKart, whole sale inflation, Treasury auction, California roof top solar

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don’t justify a full post. I’ve decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I’m calling Notes You Need. A representative item will look like the from today: “10:20 a.m.: Bloomberg has reported that Qualcomm (QCOM) is considering exiting the market for server chips. Qualcomm started production shipments of its ARM-based 48-core Centriq 2400 server processors only last November. A Qualcomm retreat would be good news for Intel (INTC) and its 50% margins on its server chips with their $5 billion a quarter revenue rate.”

Israel/Iran exchange of fire near Golan Heights supports oil; worries about Saudi production increase weigh on market

No surprise: Oil moves higher on day after U.S. pulls out of Iran nuclear deal

Today crude oil is up, in a strong but orderly move. Two catalysts. First, yesterday President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. would pull out of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. Second, U.S. crude inventories unexpectedly dropped last week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported. Inventories fell by 2.2 million barrels. Oil analysts were looking for an increase in inventories of 1 million barrels.

Special Premium Report Part 2: My 2018 earnings boom profit strategy and five more picks

Closing my first two earnings surprise call options with gains of 49% and 70% in less than a month

With the Federal Reserve and Apple’s earnings behind us, this week the market has responded by strongly bidding up the prices of Nvidia and SolarEdge Technologies–and their options–strongly ahead of earnings announcements on May 9 and on May 10. I added call options on these stocks to my Volatility Portfolio on April 17 as the first move in my strategy for profiting from the 2018 earnings boom. My gains: 49% and 70%