Mid Term
China’s economy continued to slow in September so Shanghai stocks moved up
On Saturday the Chinese government and private surveys released more numbers showing that the country's economy was slowing. In September growth in China's manufacturing sector stalled after 15 months of expansion, according to the Caixin/Market Manufacturing...
Dollar fundamentals continue to erode
I don't think there's anything more important to financial markets--well, assuming we don't get some kind of completely off-the-wall black swan event--over the next three months or so than the strength or weakness of the dollar. My judgment on trends in the greenback...
Fed raises interest rates, locks in December increase, signals 3 moves in 2019
No surprise on a September interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve today--but some very aggressive signals on policy into 2019. The 25 basis point increase today raised the Fed Funds rate to a target of 2% to 2.25%. The economy remains solid; job growth has...
Special Report: 10 picks for the coming 19% to 44% emerging markets bounce–plus BONUS ETF PORTFOLIO allocations
Part 1: Getting ready for an emerging markets bounce All the portents (You know, sightings of white seabirds on the left as the king rides to the hunt, the witches of Endor issuing a "buy"call, strange voices in the darkest night near the swamps of the dead behind...
10 stock picks for an emerging markets bounce (Picks #1-#10)
Let's not overthink this, okay? In my post on Friday "Get ready for an emerging markets bounce" I laid out the case for believing that the emerging markets crisis is about to yield to an emerging markets bounce that could last weeks or even run through the end of...
Oil surges on no action at OPEC meeting
Today oil prices breached levels that have oil traders talking about $100 a barrel oil again on OPEC's decision at its weekend meeting not to boost oil production. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate climbed 2.15% as of noon today, September 24, to move solidly...
Battle over bond yields, interest rates shifts to 2019
Remember back at the beginning of 2018 when bond investors and traders couldn't agree on whether the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates two times, or three times or four times in the year? (It wound up being four.) Well, we're looking at a replay of that...
Get ready for an emerging markets bounce
All the portents (You know, sightings of white seabirds on the left as the king rides to the hunt, the witches of Endor issuing a "buy"call, strange voices in the darkest night near the swamps of the dead behind Aunt Tillie's house) are falling into place for a solid...
China cut buying of U.S. Treasuries in July–but what’s happening now?
Talk about frustratingly lagging data. China’s holdings of U.S. Treasuries fell to a six-month low in July, according to the latest data from the Treasury Department released today. The first found of U.S. tariffs went into effect on July 6. China’s ownership of U.S....
Oil climbs as Iranian exports plunge
West Texas Intermediate is up 1.32% to just below $70 a barrel ($69.82 at 3 p.m. New York time) today. International benchmark Brent crude is up 1.2% and is closing in on $80 a barrel ($78.99.) With almost 50 days to go before U.s. sanctions against Iran go into pull...
Is the next big tech stock thing, Chinese tech stocks?
There's some evidence that the money that has left big U.S. tech stocks such as Facebook (FB), Netflix (NFLX), Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) on some recent days has been headed into big Chinese tech stocks such as Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), Alibaba (BABA), and...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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