Volatility
So how’s my “Tech is back” call (and picks of SWKS and CRUS) doing?
On October 8 I wrote "Tech is back" led by fact-based speculation that Apple (AAPL) had asked supplier to increase production of components for the iPhone 11 by 10%. That, obviously, was a good sign for Apple, which is set to announce earnings on October 30. And, I...
My second pick for a tech better than Apple: Buying Cirrus Logic for my Volatility Portfolio
Friday, October 11, gave us another preview of tech stocks that would move up more than Apple (AAPL) as that stock itself rallies on reports that iPhone 11 sales are running so strong that Apple has asked supplier to up production by 10%. Apple shares gained 2.66% on...
PMI Services disappoints; stocks recover on Fed cut speculation
The Institute for Supply Management's Purchasing Managers Index for Services fell to 52.6 for September, according to reports this morning, October 3. That was a drop from August's 56.4 and below the 55.0 that economists surveyed by Bloomberg had projected. That left...
The credit crisis is becoming steadily more visible on the horizon
Those of you who follow along at home know that my big worries now are a further slowdown in the U.S. economy--with a slip into a long cycle of very slow growth--and a credit crunch of the sort described by the late economist Hyman Minsky. Unfortunately, in the kind...
Growth worries about U.S. economy mount today ahead of critical Friday jobs report
In a different environment, the disappointing jobs numbers from the private ADP employment survey and the weak quarterly sales reports from Ford and General Motors would not have taken the Standard & Poor's 500 down 1.79% and the Dow Jones Industrials lower by...
Are the foundations of this market looking a little ragged?
If you were an investor during the dotcom bubble of 1999 that turned into the dotcom bust of 2000 and then into an extended and painful bear market, then you now what we're seeing now isn't a comparable level of distress in the underpinnings of the financial markets....
People’s Bank adds $126 billion in liquidity to Chinese economy
With China's economy expected to slow further in September after poor results in July and August, the People's Bank of China cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves to the lowest level since 2007. The required reserve ratio for all banks will be...
Step #3 Adding more risk hedges in my Special Report on getting ready for the next Big One
As I wrote in my August 26 post "Risk and uncertainty soared on Friday--and not for the reasons you might first think" I think that Friday's retaliatory tariffs from China and then the Trump administration's retaliation to the retaliation--plus rhetoric from President...
Recession expectations slowly climbing–slowly driving odds of a recession higher
Recessions have a huge "sentiment" component in their causation. Consumers and CEOs look around at the economy, assess their feelings about the future economy, and decide that the prudent course is to cut back on spending to prepare for the coming economic downturn....
Markets try to have it both ways in the morning and then throw in the towel on risk
This morning you could hear the gears whirring as Wall Street strategists tried to position their portfolios so they were hedged against U.S-China trade war risk but also positioned to catch any bounce on good news on the trade front and ahead of the September 18...
Is it true and does it matter to the financial markets?
This morning President Donald Trump told reporters at the Group of Seven summit that over the weekend there had been significant progress in negotiations to end the U.S.-China trade war. “We’ve gotten two calls and very, very good calls,” Trump told reporters at the...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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