Volatility
Trick or trend: Wall Street minds turn to the history of earnings recessions
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. In the last...
S&P 500: Testing, testing at 2742
So far this is a normal pause. Stocks frequently pause, pull back, move up again, pull back again when they confront a major resistance level. So it's not surprising that the Standard & Poor's 500 took a breather today after the index closed at 2731 yesterday...
Forget recession worries–the big danger now is in the credit cycle
The Federal Reserve and the world's other central banks face an impossible choice. On the one hand, they could have tighten the money supply by raising interest rates or other means. That would have risked sending economies near recession into recession--Germany, for...
Buying this yen ETF for Jubak Picks to hedge market risk–and maybe gain 5% or so
Yesterday in a post "One consequence of change in Fed policy likely to be a weaker dollar" I noted that a number of Wall Street and big international banks have forecast a drop in the dollar as a result of the Fed's decision to back off on raising interest rates in...
Earnings season turns into a red-ink bloodbath in China
On Wednesday 440 Chinese companies warned that their 2018 financial results fell, according to Bloomberg. And there was still a day to go before the deadline to report such warnings. Of the more than 2,400 mainland China listed companies that have announced...
Adding VIX $23 Calls to my Volatility Portfolio today
Over the weekend in my Trick or Trend post I noted that S&P 500 volatility was experiencing a very unusual inversion--where the markets were projecting more risk in the next week than for longer periods like a month or two. And, I posited, that inversion wasn't...
Adding Ionis Pharmacueticals to my Special Report: 10 Best Buy Stocks for After the Bear–and to my Volatility Portfolio
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...
Saturday Night Quarterback says, on a Sunday, for the week ahead expect…
...earnings from big name market movers such as Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) to be more important market drivers than the Federal Reserve meeting, the resumption of China trade talks, and the January jobs report. That's quite a bit of macro news, but I think...
Trick or Trend: Now there’s a volatility inversion to worry about
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. You've...
Adding Incyte to my Special Report: 10 Best Buys for after the Bear–and to my Volatility Portfolio
The Biotech sector is a prototypical risk on/risk off asset class. Just look at the performance of Incyte if you'd like an example. The stock plunged to a low of $58.58 on December 24as investors and traders shunned risk--risk of a recession, risk of the U.S.-China...
Adding JD.Com to my Special Report: 10 Best Buy Stocks for after the Bear–and to my Volatility Portfolio
JD.Com (JD) is my last purely China pick for this list of 10 Best Buy Stocks for after the Bear. The company has increased its share of the business to consumer eCommerce market to 19.5% in 2014 from 17.2% in 2011, according to iResearch. And grown its share of the...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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