September 25, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Today looks like a strong rally but I've got my doubts. At the close the Standard & Poor's 500 was up 1.60%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 1.34%. The technology laden NASDAQ Composite was higher by 2.26%. The NASDAQ 100, dominated by the technology...
September 24, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Stocks moved up modestly this morning (modest considering the damage down in the last few days) with the Standard & Poor's 500 up 0.99% at 1 p.m. New York time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ahead 0.94%, and the NASDAQ Composite gaining 1.16%. The move seems to...
September 23, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
I've argued that there are two giant bets that support stock prices at recent historic levels. One is the Vaccine Put, the belief in the delivery--and relatively soon too--of a safe and effective coronavirus vaccine that will let economies around the world return to...
September 23, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Tuesday night the House of Representatives passed a stopgap funding bill to keep the government operating through December 11. The House vote was 359-57 and the legislation now goes to the Senate for a vote before the end of the fiscal year on September 30 forces a...
September 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
This morning it looked like we might not get the bounce I expected today after the Monday morning sell off and Monday afternoon recovery. The NASDAQ, dominated by the big tech names most likely to bounce today, started Tuesday off in a mild downturn. As of 11:07 a.m....
September 21, 2020 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, You Might Have Missed |
The U.S. government’s debt will be almost twice the size of the U.S. economy by 2050, according to new projections from the Congressional Budget Office. That would be up from 98% this year and 79% in 2019. (The prior, pre-coronavirus forecast for 2050 debt in January...
September 17, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
Hmmm. Last time a declining technology sector bounced hard, it staged that recovery after hitting the 50-day moving average. Well, guess what? It's back. For example, Apple (AAPL), a critical bellwether stock in the sector closed today, September 17, at $110.34. The...
September 16, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
At 2:30 p.m. New York time, about the time the Federal Reserve issued its press statement on today's meeting of the Fed's interest rate setting body the Open Market Committee and about the time when Fed chair Jerome Powell issued his comments on the meeting, stocks...
September 14, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Just in case you needed an example of how powerful the Vaccine Put is, check out today's (September 14) action in the U.S. stocks. On positive "indications" about a possible coronavirus treatment, Incyte (INCY) was up 5.55% as of 3 p.m. New York time. On positive news...
September 4, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
At noon New York time today the Standard & Poor's 500 was down 1.92% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was off 1.63%. The NASDAQ Composite was lower by 2.65%. Despite solid gains in the August jobs report this morning that matched Wall Street expectations. But...
September 3, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
I love this headline today on Yahoo Finance: "Stocks post worst day since June." Since June!! What else were you expecting in a rally that has become completely unmoored from any fundamentals in the real world. Remember that when some talking head ties to convince you...
September 2, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
At the close today, the Standard & Poor's 500 was up another 1.54%. Putting this question at the top of many investors' and traders' minds: Is there any way to participate in this blow out rally without real adding an unacceptable amount of risk? The 5.83% drop in...