Step #3 Adding more risk hedges in my Special Report on getting ready for the next Big One
As I wrote in my August 26 post "Risk and uncertainty soared on Friday--and not for the reasons you might first think" I think that Friday's retaliatory tariffs from China and then the Trump administration's retaliation to the retaliation--plus rhetoric from President...
Trick or Trend: U.S. again considers issuing 100-year Treasuries
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. The last time...
Special Report: Are you ready for the next Big One? A 5-Step Portfolio Strategy–Part 1, the odds of a Recession or Credit Crunch, Step #1 Foundation Buys, Step #2 Sectors to Sell, Step #3 More Hedges, Step #4 Rebelancing
Is a Recession coming? I don't mean "someday." Someday the sun will go nova but I don't need to price that in to my investment strategy. But a Recession in 2020 or 2021? That's something to take into account. And to prepare for to the degree possible. Or a Credit...
Portfolio strategies for a changing market: What went up today when everything went down
For the last few weeks I've been working to shift gears in my online portfolios in anticipation of a tougher market after the Federal Reserve meeting (and a likely additional interest rate cut) on September 18. I've added Treasury ETFs--the Vanguard Intermediate-term...
If you’re worried about the Credit Crunch, then Ford debt nearing junk status is a bad sign
I've written more than once about my conviction--and consequent worry--that we're headed for a global credit crunch sometime in the next three to four years. I'm looking for the kind of Minsky Moment that sees financial markets go into chaos as global liquidity...
Global debt hit a record $233 trillion in third quarter of 2017
There's good news and bad news in this analysis from the Institute of International Finance. The good news is that, thanks to growth in the global economy, the ratio of debt to gross domestic product fell for a fourth consecutive quarter in the third quarter of 2017....
Is a slow-motion credit crunch already here?
Thanks, folks. For weeks now I've been writing about an impending credit crunch that would produce a reset (a polite term for a big whoosh down the toilet) in global asset prices. The problem, I've noted, is that while a credit crunch seems likely, putting a time to...
Special Report: 5 Places to Hide from a Downturn–and Still Make Some Money
If you were to ask me today to characterize the U.S. stock market, I'd ask "Over what time period?" It matters and it matters intensely. In the long-ish run--say over the next two to three years--I think we're headed toward a credit crunch and a Minsky Moment where...The Big Hedge #3: A new scenario to worry about–this one includes a global credit crunch
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