So last Friday’s “agreement” on U.S.-China trade wasn’t really an agreement
China now says it wants to hold more talks this month to hammer out the details of the U.S.-China mini-deal announced by President Donald Trump on Friday before Chinese President Xi Jinping will sign it, both Bloomberg and the Washington Post are reporting today....
Not surprisingly U.S.-China trade war rhetoric heats up ahead of renewal of talks
Today the Trump administration put eight of China's technology giants on a blacklist over alleged human rights violations against Muslim minorities. And China signaled that it would retaliate over the blacklist. Foreign ministry spokesman Geng Shuang told reporters...
Stocks slide, bonds rally on pessimism of a thousand cuts
Stocks were down this morning with the Standard & Poor's 500 falling 1.01% as of 1 p.m. New York time and bonds were up with Treasury prices climbing to send the yield on the 10-year Treasury down 8 basis points to 1.64%. The move down wasn't the result of a...
People’s Bank adds $126 billion in liquidity to Chinese economy
With China's economy expected to slow further in September after poor results in July and August, the People's Bank of China cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves to the lowest level since 2007. The required reserve ratio for all banks will be...
August jobs report disappoints; more evidence that U.S. economy is slowing
The U.S. economy added 130,000 jobs in August. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected 171,000 new jobs. Once you subtracted the 25,000 new temporary jobs added by the government for the 2020 census, the results were even more disappointing with the private...
The market wants to believe today–rallying ahead of the Fed?
As of 2 p.m. New York time U.S. stocks were higher on just about no meaningful news. To me it looks like the market wants to climb in the very near term--testing technical momentum to move to 2950 on the Standard & Poor's 500 and maybe beyond. The "reasons" being...
Saturday Night Quarterback says (on a Sunday), For the week ahead expect…
... some things in the financial markets will be so similar to what they were before the Labor Day holiday that you might think you were never away at all. Not everything, though. Yes, the U.S.-China trade war will still be hanging fire. And the tariffs on $112...Other signs of global economic stress keep coming in
The U.S.-China trade war continues to erode business confidence in Germany. Business confidence in the country, home to Europe's largest economy, fell to its weakest level in almost seven years as a deepening manufacturing slump put the German economy on the verge of...
China retaliates; Trump promises his retaliation to their retaliation this afternoon
Xi Jinping and Donald Trump upstaged Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell this morning. Powell's Jackson Hole speech this morning was supposed to be the day's big market event. (More on this speech in a later post.) But this morning China announced that it would...
Markets bet that Fed will follow ECB this week to announce something “spectacular”
Gotta love that financial market enthusiasm for central banks. Last week the markets rallied on signals from the European Central Bank that it would cut its key interest rate--now at a negative 0.40%--to a negative -0.50%, lower the rates that banks pay to borrow...
Saturday Night Quarterback says, For the week ahead expect…
... well, expect that nothing much else will matter if the yuan-dollar exchange rate moves noticeably up or down this week. In a normal week, investors and traders would be studying reports on inflation (CPI), retail sales, initial claims for unemployment, oil...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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