Market advances on belief that polls showing a Clinton win are correct, but doesn’t crawl out too far on that limb in case the polls are about to pull a Brexit

As of 3:50 p.m. New York time–a little more than 3 hours before voting places close in bellwether states New Hampshire and Florida–the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index was ahead 0.49% and the NASDAQ Composite index was up 0.78%. In other words, U.S. stock traders and investors are looking for a Hillary Clinton victory as the polls now indicate but they’re not willing to rule out the possibility of a Brexit-style surprise. In that June 25 vote, the “stay in the European Union” position had been winning in the polls but the actual vote gave the victory to the “leave the European Union” side.

Stocks rally on FBI director Comey’s second letter on Clinton emails

The hedges have been coming off today as the financial markets react to FBI director James Comey’s second letter on the FBI’s perusal of a trove of email’s on a laptop that was shared by Clinton aide Huma Abedin with her estranged husband (and former Dencratic Congressman from New York) Anthony Weiner. It’s not so much that Wall Street loves Hilary Clinton as that the markets fear the unpredictability of Donald Trump

It’s not so much one big thing as it is general nervousness

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump isn’t as secure as it was just 10 days ago. Facebook (FB) busted above expectations for earnings but still fell big on cautious guidance. This week’s initial claims for unemployment came in at 265,000 instead of the 258,000 economists expected. The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index is marginally lower going into the close–which would make an eighth straight daily decline. Oil continued to sell off as crude unwinds all the gains after OPEC’s promise of production cuts