China slows a “wee bit”–but that’s too much for an already nervous market
Growth in China's economy has slipped to the lowest rate since 2016. Which isn't huge negative news except that Chinese financial markets are already nervous enough to have pushed Chinese stocks into a bear market. In the second quarter of 2018 annual growth rose by...Asia markets in one-day bounce–but I’ll take it
News from Asian markets has been so bad lately, with China in a bear market and Japan in a correction--that even today's one-day bounce seems like extraordinarily good news. In Japan, which has been in a stock market correction, the Nikkei 225 index climbed 1.2%....China isn’t the big loser from higher U.S. tariffs–Taiwan, South Korea and these emerging markets are
Bloomberg has crunched the numbers. And surprise (well at least to the Trump administration, maybe), the biggest loser from the tariffs that the U.S. is imposing on Chinese goods isn't China but developed economies such as If China’s exports were to drop 10 percent,...Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…
... the extremely likely election of populist Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador as president of Mexico to fuel both more worry about emerging markets and the possibility of a global trade war. Voting stations opened in Mexico today at 8 a.m. local time and close at 6 p.m....My baseline U.S. stock market scenario for the next 30 days
So much negative uncertainty from big possible events. Such strong short term earnings fundamentals. How will these all balance out? Before I get to my take on the answer to that question let's take a brief stop to look at what a baseline scenario is and why putting...Brazil looks to be only part way through its car wreck so I’m selling my Brazil ETF
Back when I bought the iShares MSCI Brazil Small Cap ETF (EWZS) the idea was that Brazil was in comeback mode with interest rates and inflation coming down. By buying the small cap ETF in my Volatility Portfolio rather than the big-cap iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ)...Time to further lighten up on emerging markets: Selling Arcos Dorados out of Jubak Picks
Back when emerging markets started to break down, I sold my positions in Argentina. Then it looked like the damage might be limited to that country. Not though it's clear that the whole sector is under pressure and that investors trying to avoid the next breakdown...Emerging markets “emerging” as focus of worry over trade, strong dollar, credit crunch
If you can't tell from the cascade of negative commentary, you certainly should be able to tell from trend in share prices: emerging markets have become the focus of current worries about global trade, the effects of a strong dollar, and the potential for a credit...Good news for Brazilian ETFs EWZ and EWZS: Central bank cuts interest rates again and signals that it’s not done either
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...How to manage risk in this market when the traditional risk safe havens aren’t working
If you spend a significant part of your day staring at your computer to watch the markets, you know that, perplexingly, the traditional safe havens for mitigating portfolio risk haven’t been working very well. Now Goldman Sachs has put its computers and data crunchers to work and has reached the same conclusion as the anecdotal evidence suggested. Goldman has tagged this a period of “diversification desperation.”