February 23, 2023 | Daily JAM, UNG, Videos |
Today I posted my two-hundred-and-forty-first YouTube video: Quick Pick U.S. Natural Gas Fund Want to grow your portfolio and protect it too? In the toughest investing market in 40 years? Grab my eBook, Your Best Investing Strategy for the Next 5 Years: Free download for subscribers to JubakAM.com. Just click on the image in the right margin. Today’s Quick Pick is United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSEARCA: UNG). The chart for UNG is horrendous, with a peak in August and a steady plummet after that. For 2022, the stock was up about 12%, thanks to late summer surges in price, as natural gas was bid up under the expectation that the war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia would cause Europe to run out of natural gas. But year to date for 2023, it’s down 44%, as Europe proved better at replacing Russian gas than anyone had expected. As the end of winter approaches, European natural gas stockpiles are at about 65%–above normal for this time of year. UNG has a pattern of up years following down years–in 2020 UNG saw a 43% decline, and in 2021, a 35% increase. As the price of natural gas goes down, demand spikes as buyers look for the cheapest fuels and purchase more natural gas, which sends the pendulum swinging back upward for natural gas providers and funds that track the commodity. Between now and mid-March is a good time to get in on natural gas as we look for the upswing when China and Asia start looking at cheaper natural gas prices and Europe looks to get its stockpile back to 100%.
February 8, 2023 | Daily JAM, EQNR, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
Today, Wednesday, February 8, Equinor (EQNR) reported a record $74.9 billion adjusted operating profit for 2022. That more than doubled the previous record. If you’re looking to add an energy stock to your portfolio ahead of a year that looks likely to be a good one for energy stocks, I’d suggest Equinor. I’ll be adding it to my Jubak Picks Portfolio tomorrow with a target price of $40 a share.
November 15, 2022 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
Time to revisit my 5 -year strategy in light of all that’s happened in the last month or so. I’m going to start that revision with what’s changed, and what’s going to happen, and then 10 bullet points on changes to my strategy.
June 23, 2022 | Daily JAM, LNG, Videos, Volatility |
My Quick Pick this week is Cheniere Energy (LNG), a liquified natural gas producer that I currently own in my Volatility Portfolio on JubakAM.com and plan to add to my Jubak Picks portfolio as well. The stock has fallen as U.S. natural gas prices have taken a hit after a fire at the Freeport liquified natural gas facility that has caused a backup in U.S. LNG exports. I think it’s a great time to get in on this long-term story at Cheniere, which just announced that it had given the go-ahead to the construction of a new LNG chain at its Corpus Christi facility. That chain won’t be in operation until 2025 but I see the demand for U.S. LNG continuing to rise through then.
April 8, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks |
I see an opportunity in Tellurian (and its penny stock) and its ambitious plans for adding new liquified natural gas supply in the U.S. Tellurian (TELL) reminds me of Cheniere Energy (LNG), which was also a long term/high-risk in LNG when I first bought it. (I now own it again in my Jubak Picks Portfolio.) TELL is currently constructing its first plant, with plans for first LNG in 2026. But the fact that they’ve started construction and have inked contracts with Shell makes me confident that the company will be able to raise the money it needs to meet its goal. And certainly all the market forecasts say there will be plenty of demand for LNG over the next decade. The stock is volatile, and it is a very longterm play. Which is why I’ll be adding it to my “Millennial Portfolio–for investors with more time than money” on Monday.
April 27, 2020 | Daily JAM, OKE, Stock Alerts |
The greatest danger of any dividend position right now is from a cut to the dividend payout. That kind of cut would send even an already crushed stock lower. I think that's the possibility facing shares of ONEOK (OKE) when it reports earnings on April 28. The stock...
January 31, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
As of 3 p.m. in New York today, the Standard & Poor's 500 was down 1.56% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lower by 1.89%. The NASDAQ Composite was holding up better with only a 1.27% drop. The small cap Russell 2000 continued as the weakest of the major...
December 27, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. It's no...
August 28, 2019 | Daily JAM |
This morning the U.S. Energy Information Administration surprised the markets with the report of a bigger than expected decline in oil stockpiles. Crude inventories fell by 10 million barrels for the week ended August 16. The prior week showed a drawdown of 2.7...
May 23, 2019 | Daily JAM, You Might Have Missed |
The combination of a big build in U.S. crude inventories this week and fears that the escalating U.S.-China trade war will slow global economic growth (and global oil demand) took a big whack out of oil prices and oil stocks today. The U.S. Energy Information...
April 30, 2019 | Daily JAM |
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) has brought Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) into its battle with Chevron (CVX) for control of Permian-Basin-rich Anadarko Petroleum (APC). Up until the entry of Buffett, Chevron had the inside edge even though it had offered a...
April 25, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, PXD |
The battle for control of Anadarko Petroleum (APC) and its huge position in the oil shale geologies of the Permian Basis isn't over. Yesterday, Wednesday,  Occidential Petroleum (OXY) made a renewed bid to acquire Anadarko. The 50%/50% stock and cash offer from...
