August 24, 2020 | Daily JAM |
... Wall Street to be hanging on the words of a Thursday, August 27 speech. Not the one that night where Donald Trump accepts the Republican Party nomination for President. That's unlikely to offer any surprises to the stock market. Instead the key speech that day is...
August 21, 2020 | Daily JAM |
In January, the Congressional Budget Office forecast that total U.S. government debt would hit 100% of GDP around 2030. At that point U.S. debt stood at about $17 trillion or roughly 80% of GDP. So much for that forecast. As of the end of June, U.S. government debt...
June 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
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June 10, 2020 | Daily JAM, Long Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Could this be the first signs that the financial markets are questioning Goldilocks? Investors and traders heard almost everything they could have hoped to hear from the Federal Reserve's interest-rate setting Open Market Committee meeting today. Sure, the Fed didn't...
June 8, 2020 | Daily JAM |
... the rally to extend on "good news" from the Federal Reserve. The Fed's Open Market Committee meets on Wednesday, June 10. The CME Fed Watch Tool says that there's just about no-chance that the Fed will move on its benchmark interest rate, now at 0% to 0.25%. The...
June 2, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Stock prices--3068.76 on for the Standard & Poor's 500 as of 1 p.m. New York time today--continue to climb toward the all-time closing record for the S&P 500 at 3386.15 set on February 19. That makes some sense if you believe that the Federal Reserve will...
April 29, 2020 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
As expected the Federal Reserve left interest rates at their current level of 0%-0.25%. And there were very few changes in the central bank's language. But a few subtle shifts are worth noting, I believe. The Fed said in early April that “We have also committed to...
April 28, 2020 | Daily JAM, Long Term, Morning Briefing |
As long as I can remember (which is only back about 40 years when it comes to the economy) the worry has been inflation. From the stagflation of the late 1970s, to Paul Volcker's brutal but successful assault on inflation in the early 1980s, to the seemingly endless...
April 25, 2020 | Daily JAM |
... earnings drama. The week features reports from Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOG), Facebook (FB), Microsoft (MSFT), ExxonMobil (XOM) General Electric (GE), Caterpillar (CAT), Ford (F), Tesla (TSLA), Starbucks (SBUX), McDonald's (MCD), Pfizer, and Gilead...
March 15, 2020 | Daily JAM, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Back on March 3 when the Federal Reserve announced an emergency 50 basis point cut in its benchmark interest rate, stock futures slumped and the Dow Jones industrial average was set to open more than 1,000 points lower on Monday. The fear that swept stocks lower was...
March 15, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility |
On Sunday night the Federal Reserve announced that it would cut interest rates to 0% (actually a policy range of 0% to 0.25%) from the current 1.00% to 1.25% range. The central bank will also resume its program of quantitative easing by buying at least $700 billion in...
March 14, 2020 | Daily JAM |
...everybody in the financial markets to be trying to guess what the Federal Reserve will do at its Wednesday meeting. Despite the Fed's emergency 50 basis point cut in interest rates, there's still a considerable body of investors and traders who think the Fed will...