It’s always hard to read anything into market action ahead of a 3-day weekend

I know everyone would like to make sense of global stock markets today—but the upcoming three-day weekend in the United States makes that really, really difficult. I’m not sure that any news or any news interpretation carries much weight today against the desire of Wall Street professionals to reduce the chance of anything blowing upon them while the markets are closed.

How near is the next bust?

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Is there a dip in our (near-term) future?

You don’t have to think this rally is about to crash—and I don’t–to think about the timing of the next pull back, dip, stumble, or whatever. I don’t think any pullback will be long or deep. But still a 3% to 7% retreat would be worse than that for the most vulnerable (read overpriced) stocks so you might want to have some idea when it’s coming

Retracement, correction or panicky plunge: First thoughts on today’s falling markets

Today we’ve got either a standard retracement of the April rally, a sell off in growth-related stocks on a disappointing report on first quarter GDP out of China, or a panicky plunge in oil, industrial materials, silver and gold. It’s certainly a down market today but the nature of the “down-ness” depends on how your portfolio is positioned.