How near is the next bust?

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Is there a dip in our (near-term) future?

You don’t have to think this rally is about to crash—and I don’t–to think about the timing of the next pull back, dip, stumble, or whatever. I don’t think any pullback will be long or deep. But still a 3% to 7% retreat would be worse than that for the most vulnerable (read overpriced) stocks so you might want to have some idea when it’s coming

Retracement, correction or panicky plunge: First thoughts on today’s falling markets

Today we’ve got either a standard retracement of the April rally, a sell off in growth-related stocks on a disappointing report on first quarter GDP out of China, or a panicky plunge in oil, industrial materials, silver and gold. It’s certainly a down market today but the nature of the “down-ness” depends on how your portfolio is positioned.

In this market everything is correlated

If I’m right, and global markets are rallying on cash flows (and hopes of future cash flows) into financial assets from global central banks, then we should be seeing a growing correlation among sectors that in markets that are moving on things like earnings or inflation or interest rates don’t move closely together. And that is exactly what we’re seeing the U.S. market

Tricks of the trade for a tricky momentum market

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