May 28, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Couple of important, if disheartening clues on what the "new normal" will look like when it arrives in Wednesday's release of the Federal Reserve's "Beige Book" survey of economic conditions for the 6 weeks ended May 18. Two results from the survey caught my eye: In...
May 28, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
The stock market is seeing the glass as half full this morning. This morning the Labor Department reported that 2.12 million Americans filed new claims for unemployment in the week that ended on May 23. That is down from 2.45 million initial claims in the prior week...
May 27, 2020 | Daily JAM |
There's nothing basically wrong with rotation. It makes sense to move money from a sector that has appreciated rapidly and to nose-bleed levels to a sector that has lagged and now looks undervalued. Rotations can, however, also signal a topping market. Investors and...
May 27, 2020 | Daily JAM |
I remain a skeptic about how fast a re-opening of the economy in all 50 states will actually produce economic growth that's something like a return to normal. I realize, as the S&P cruises back toward the February high above 3,000, that my opinion is somewhat of a...
May 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, STZ |
Constellation Brands (STZ) is up more than $70 a share--or 67% from its March 23 low $105.64. At today's close of $176.41, up another 2.38% today, the stock is knocking on the door of the $185.96 high and the 200-day moving average at $182.08. I added it to the...
May 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
This morning what I saw in photos and videos from this past Memorial Day weekend was a country rushing pell mell toward re-opening the economy without a thought for safety amidst a still uncontrolled coronavirus outbreak. I saw photos of crowds at beaches, on board...
May 7, 2020 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, TWLO, Volatility |
I still love Twilio (TWLO) for the long term. It's positioning in the forefront of providing aps and a developer platform for linking multi-device input and replies into a single network makes this a stock that I want in my portfolio for the next five years (a...
May 7, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Initial claims for unemployment totaled 3.17 million for the week ended May 2, the Labor Department reported today. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had projected 3 million new claims for the week. This week's total was down from the 3.85 million initial claims filed...
May 4, 2020 | Daily JAM, SHAK |
Shake Shack (SHAK) reported earning of 2 cents a share today after the market close. Wall Street had expected a penny a share loss. Earnings were down from 13 cents a share in the year ago quarter. Same store sales dropped 12.8% years over year and revenue for the...
April 27, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Today is all about optimism--forget plunging oil prices, uncertain earnings, or a first quarter drop in GDP-- for an upturn in the economy as more states--Colorado is newest to climb on board--re-open parts of their economies. Today, at least, no one is worried,...
April 20, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Last week President Donald Trump delivered a "nothing burger" of guidance for re-opening the economy. The President's guidance followed the steps that most public health experts have laid out for when and how to re-open the economy. A massive increase in testing from...
April 17, 2020 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter, Short Term, WST |
In my recent post "What do you do when the market is insane and you're not?" I argued that one of the dangers in a very volatile market with strong--and temporarily profitable--short-term trends is that we'll give in to the pressure to do something--and do something...