Blog

Archive for the ‘Dip-O-Meter’ Category

Patterns and positioning after today’s weakness in stocks

I think anyone who tells you they "know" where stocks are going next week is either smoking something (and I'd like some, please) or is looking to sell you something. In the last two weeks we've seen a market that was totally willing to look past all the evidence that coronavirus cases were surging and […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Buy-on-the-dip Dip-O-Meter update for April 27

Still waiting for a second bottom before going hog wild on buy-on-the-dip buying. Some interesting prices here, certainly, for Middleby (MIDD), HBFC (HDB), Westpac Bank (WBK), and Infineon (IFNNY0, but I'm still convinced that we'll see another dip in prices--something more akin to the final bottom--before the summer is done. So I'm keeping my powder […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Buying Meituan Dianping in my Volatility Portfolio on Monday

I'm buying  Meituan Dianping (MPNGF) on prospects for a China rally and on a gradual return of consumer confidence in China. The company, backed by Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), said that its food delivery business began to recover in March, when shuttered restaurants re-opened and as Chinese consumers slowly got over fears that delivery workers might […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

5 MORE smart, short-term moves while we wait for longer-term trends to resolve

In my recent post "What do you do when the market is insane and you're not?" I argued that one of the dangers in a very volatile market with strong--and temporarily profitable--short-term trends is that we'll give in to the pressure to do something--and do something that will cost us money since we'll be late […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Special Report Part 2: Calls to “re-open the economy” increase–what’s my investing strategy for that?

President Donald Trump has made it clear that his preference is to re-open the economy by May 1. Administration officials including economic advisors Larry Kudlow and Peter Navarro, and Attorney General William Barr have taken to repeating the mantra "The cure can't be worse than the disease" to argue that an economic shutdown to control […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Special Report: Do you have a strategy for the really dangerous stage in this bear? Let me tell you mine–Part 1: The ups and downs of the Bear over the next 6-10 months; Part 2: The re-opening rally; Part 3: Is the re-opening rally over already?

Part 1: The ups and downs of the Bear In digging into the historical record of Bear Markets--again--I've come to the conclusion that what you can say about a bear market with any hope of a degree of accuracy very much depends on your time scale. In the longest time scale--that applied by the advocates […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Removing Luckin Coffee from my list of Buy on the Dip future opportunities on 75% loss today

This morning the board of Luckin Coffee (LK), the fastest growing coffee brand in the world, announced that it had told the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission that it had initiated an internal investigation into the possibility that former  COO, Jian Liu had inflated revenues by more than $300 million. Expenses at the company may […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Good news out of Palo Alto Networks doesn’t count for much in a bear market–but enough to earn a neutral from me

The problem isn't that there's no good news out of individual companies. It's just that good news on specific stocks doesn't count for much in a bear market when everything moves together in a single direction--most usually down. Take Palo Alto Networks (PANW), a member of my Jubak Picks Portfolio. The shares are down 19.3% […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Market climbs on 6.65 million new claims for unemployment? Buying Starbucks Puts

Okay, I simply don't understand how the government could report 6.65 million new claims for unemployment in the week ended March 28--up from 3.31 million (revised) the week before--and stocks climb. As of 11:15 a.m. New York time the Standard & Poor's 500 was up 1.48%. The total initial claims number is far above the […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.

Using my Dip-O-Meter to predict how individual stocks will behave in this bear market

On many days right now the market seems manipulated by big computer trades. The major indexes are stopping and starting on dimes that correspond closely to technical levels in the market--such as the 20-day moving average. I think that's because algorithms designed to wring every dollar of profit they can from from short-term trends in […]

To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the site. And we'll throw in the first week free! If you change your mind during that first week, just cancel your subscription from your profile page, and you won't be billed anything.