September 23, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Volatility |
Just enough bad news today to put an end to this week’s post-Fed meeting rally. As of 3:30 p.m. New York time, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was still up 1.3% for the week. But the index is down 0.48% today. Oil is off even more with West Texas Intermediate slinking 3.04%
August 16, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
The Federal Reserve is at it again. Today two high-profile Fed members, William Dudley, president of the New York Fed, and Dennis Lockhart, president of the Atlanta Fed, both talked up the odds for an interest rate increase as early as September and certainly sometime before the end of the year.
July 31, 2016 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Volatility |
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July 19, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
German investor confidence fell in July on worries over the United Kingdom’s vote to leave the European Union. Released today the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany, which looks six months ahead ( in other words into early 2017), fell to -6.8 from 19.2 in June. On the other hand, the International Monetary Fund, looking only at 2016, doesn’t see much danger from Brexit–in that time frame–outside of the United Kingdom itself.
June 27, 2016 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility |
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June 24, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
In the short term volatility itself will bring more selling as computerized trend-following strategies designed to limit risk create more selling. When the price trend turns negative–as it has today after four previous days had left the S&P ahead by about 2%–these strategies say sell in order to keep up with index volatility and to limit the size of future losses
June 13, 2016 | Daily JAM, Volatility |
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June 10, 2016 | VIX, Volatility |
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June 10, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
What had been up earlier this week was down today. U.S. stocks retreated with the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index down 0.90% to move back below 2100 again. Emerging market stocks fell too with the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF dropping 2.53%. Oil tumbled with U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude down 3.14% to $48.97 a barrel, below the closely watched $50 a barrel marker
May 31, 2016 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility |
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May 6, 2016 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, VIX, Volatility |
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April 28, 2016 | Daily JAM, VIX, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
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