Mild inflation numbers lead to mild market gains

Mild inflation numbers lead to mild market gains

The headline consumer price index, the government announced this morning, rose 0.3% in September. That follows on a 0.2% increase in August. The headline rate of inflation is now 1.5% year over year. That’s the highest rate of inflation for this number since October 2014. Core inflation–that is inflation excluding changes in the prices of energy and food, rose by just 0.1% in September after climbing 0.3% in August

Today looks like a return to the “vulnerable” market of last week

For me the question today was whether the market would look like the “vulnerable” market of the first four days of last week–you know when U.S. stocks moved lower, the dollar continued to climb but so did the yen, and emerging market equities fell and it looked like we were moving back to a typical risk-off market–or whether Friday’s strong day for U.S. stocks broke the pattern.

September Fed minutes point to December rate increase, slow path in 2017

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s September 20-21 meeting released today confirm the market’s view of the Fed’s likely course of action on interest rates. The decision at the September meeting not to raise interest rates at that point was a close call–which supports the current view that the Fed will raise interest rates at its December 14 meeting. Nothing in the minutes suggested that the Fed was chomping at the bit to raise interest rates, however