Suddenly U.S. stocks seem vulnerable

It’s not like U.S. stocks didn’t have enough to worry about today. For the day the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index closed at 2136.73, off by 1.24%. That was enough to push the S&P 500 below the 50-day moving average. The index has been flirting with that support level since early September. Maybe in this context the warnings issued today by Wall Street technical analysts feel like piling on–or maybe they are exactly what they seem, that is warnings

Jobs number comes in light but in an OK way

The U.S. economy added 156,000 jobs in September after an upwardly revised August report of 167,000 new jobs. The September number was less than the 172,000 jobs forecast by economists. The official unemployment rate ticked up to 5% in the month from 4.9% in August. But there’s nothing here to suggest that the Federal Reserve will put a December rate increase on hold. On the plus side, the labor participation rate moved up to a six-month high

Better than expected initial claims number raises odds for December move by Fed

A big drop in initial claims for unemployment reported this morning sets the stage for tomorrow’s report on jobs in September. A strong showing tomorrow would add to conviction in the financial markets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its December 14 meeting. According to the CME’s FedWatch, the Fed Funds Futures market is now pricing in a 63.9% chance of a December increase