August 2, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Yesterday the Treasury Department said that it will raise long-term debt issuance to $78 billion this quarter. That would be an increase from the $73 billion in sales last quarter and the third consecutive quarterly increase. The increased sales of Treasury debt are...
August 2, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
U.S. markets shrugged off worries about a more serious U.S.-China tariff war after the Trump administration said it would push ahead with plans to impose 25% tariffs on an additional $200 billion in Chinese imports. That rate is up from an earlier proposal for a 10%...
July 31, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
This Special Report is under construction. Sorry the process is taking so long. I badly strained my left hand in a fall last week and it's made typing difficult. But all clear now and I 'm pushing ahead with this as fast as I can to complete the full ten picks. I've...
July 31, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index for June climbed 0.1% at both the headline and core (excluding food and energy prices) levels. That was a tad lower than the 0.2% increase expected by economists surveyed by Briefing.com. (The PCE index is the Federal...
July 27, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Volatility |
Facebook (FB) falls almost 20%. Netflix (NFLX) tumbles 14%. Twitter (TWTR) is down 21% on earnings. Intel (INTC) finished today down 9%. And yet the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), which measures the price that traders are willing to pay to hedge risk VIX, the so-called...
July 23, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, You Might Have Missed |
Existing home sales fell 0.6% month-over-month in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.38 million. The consensus among economists surveyed by Briefing.com called for an annual rate of 5.45 million units. The May sales rate was revised down to a 5.41 million...
July 19, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
There's good news and bad news in this analysis from the Institute of International Finance. The good news is that, thanks to growth in the global economy, the ratio of debt to gross domestic product fell for a fourth consecutive quarter in the third quarter of 2017....
July 18, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
Thanks, folks. For weeks now I've been writing about an impending credit crunch that would produce a reset (a polite term for a big whoosh down the toilet) in global asset prices. The problem, I've noted, is that while a credit crunch seems likely, putting a time to...
July 18, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
Sometimes it's how the market doesn't react that's important. Today the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a surprising build in U.S. crude oil inventories of 5.8 million barrels for the week ended on July 13. This comes after a big drawdown of 12.6...
July 11, 2018 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, Volatility |
The Trump administration has released a new list of $200 billion in Chinese goods that would be subject to higher tariffs as promised in retaliation for Chinese tariffs in retaliation for earlier U.S. tariffs. The new tariffs won't go into effect until the end of...
June 25, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
Last week the market consensus was that all the moves to raise U.S. tariffs on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and everyone else in the world--were just parts of a negotiating strategy by President Donald Trump. Certainly we weren't on the path of some...
June 20, 2018 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
If you're wondering why U.S. financial markets haven't moved down more strongly on news that sure sounds like the U.S. and China are headed to a trade war, you don't need to look any further than comments by Goldman Sachs Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein...