Short Term
Here’s one plan from the Federal government for a coronavirus re-opening
The Washington Post has published an early draft from FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) and the CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) of a Federal government plan to re-open the U.S. economy. It's not the final draft, and the version the Post saw...
Trick or Trend: Is Sunday’s oil deal enough? Probably not
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Do this...
The deluge of cuts to earnings estimates has started–but Wall Street remains optimistic–perhaps too optimistic–on Q1 estimates
I opened my online brokerage account yesterday to see an endless stream of news briefs about Wall Street analyst cuts to earnings estimates for the first quarter earnings season that begins next week with earnings from JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) on...
Watch out for a wild Thursday (and maybe even Wednesday)
The U.S. stock markets are closed on Friday, April 10, for Good Friday. That sets up a short week and a long weekend--which would be likely to produce higher than normal volume and volatility on Thursday anyway as traders and investors bought and sold to position...
Buying Wells Fargo Put Options on Monday ahead of bank earnings
If my recent buy of Put Options on JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is a bet that investors and traders will sell one of the country's best run big banks ahead of first quarter earnings and second quarter guidance to protect against the effects of an economic slowdown, my buy of...
Buying JPMorgan Chase Puts ahead of next week’s bank earnings reports and guidance
As I wrote in yesterday's Saturday Night Quarterback, I'm buying to Puts on bank stocks tomorrow, Monday April 6, ahead of bank earnings reports that begin with JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) before the market open on Tuesday April 14. I think banks will...
Economy loses 701,000 jobs in March; April looks much worse
The U.S economy lost 701,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced this morning. The unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in March from 3.5%, a 50-year low, in February. The survey behind the numbers was completed by March 12 so it didn't capture the full...
Walgreens latest stock to punch holes in a coronavirus revenue growth story
The theory was that Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) would actually benefit from the coronavirus pandemic as consumers stocked up at the drugstore chain in preparation for the coronavirus shelter-in-place orders now becoming common in the United States and Europe. But...
Initial claims for unemployment soar to 6.65 million
I'm finding it hard to wrap my head around exactly how bad the economy is and how fast the collapse has been. Today's report of 6.65 million new claims for unemployment for the week ended March 28 exploded through the record number of new claims set just the prior...
I don’t think the market fell far enough today to rally tomorrow if unemployment news is merely bad instead of horrible
Remember last week. Stocks rallied despite the news that initial claims for unemployment hit a record high of 3.28 million. The markets decided to look past the unemployment number and focus on the positive in the passage of a $2.2 trillion coronavirus rescue bill by...
The retail job loss river turns into a deluge
Today, Monday, March 31, Macy's (M) announced it will furlough most of its130,000 workers after shutting 775 stores. Kohl’s furloughed 80,000 workers. Gap another 80,000 each. Gannett announced furloughs for newspaper employees who earn more than $38,000. Sysco, the...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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