January 31, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, You Might Have Missed |
The market has priced in just about a zero percent change of an interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve in 2019. In fact, looking out through all of 2019 and into 2020, the financial markets believe there's more chance of an interest rate cut than of a rate...
January 28, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
The U.S. Department of Justice filed criminal charges Monday against Huawei Technologies, China's biggest technology company. The charges include an allegation that the company stole trade secrets from TMobile and that Huawei committed bank fraud by violating...
January 27, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, Mid Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. You've...
January 17, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Most of the recent sentiment surveys show the same result: While sentiment about current conditions--AKA the present--remains strong, sentiment about conditions 6 to 12 months out is sliding in a pessimistic direction. The recent Bloomberg Consumer Comfort index,...
January 2, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
China and other export-oriented Asian economies delivered really grim news on growth last night and yet U.S. stocks have refused to move into the red. As of 2:20 p.m. New York time on Thursday the Standard & Poor's 500 index was up 0.07% The NASDAQ Composite was...
December 24, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
And Merry Christmas! to you too. The stock market delivered a lump of coal on Christmas Eve. (Does this mean the financial markets are part of the dastardly war on Christmas? Say it ain't so, Goldman Sachs!) The Standard & Poor's 500 index closed down 2.71% at...
December 20, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve delivered the worst of both world's, as far as Wall Street is concerned. And the 25 basis point increase in benchmark interest rates doesn't even count--since that was what the market was expecting. First, the Fed drew attention to...
December 17, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Maybe that should be "wild cards." First, there's President Donald Trump's threat to shut down about 25% of the government on December 22 if Congress doesn't include $5 billion for his border wall in its bill to fund such government units as the Department of Homeland...
December 11, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Sometimes it's hard to draw a connection between what the market is doing and anything in the news. Sometimes it's not quite so difficult. Today the connections have been crystal clear. Markets started off in rally mode after Monday's selling. The Dow Jones Industrial...
December 10, 2018 | Daily JAM, Volatility, WST, You Might Have Missed |
U.S. stocks after being deep in the red this morning, came roaring back this afternoon. Or at least technology shares did. The Standard and Poor's 500, which had been as low as 2583 today, climbed back to close at 2637. The swing from high of the day to low was a huge...
December 10, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
I dare you to find something global financial markets aren't worried about. And, moreover, many of the worries are re-enforcing each other today. So, for example, we've got U.S. Trade Representative Robert E. Lighthizer, saying on Sunday TV the the 90 day trade truce...
December 7, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, You Might Have Missed |
To the surprise of many, OPEC & Friends--what's known as OPEC+--agreed to cut production by 1.2 million barrels a day beginning in 2019. This was a bigger cut than the 1 million barrels a day that commodity markets had expected. Oil prices and oil stocks initially...