Special Reports
Breaking Special Report: 5 Moves for Playing Defense NOW–first 4 moves
What now? I’ve been working to play defense in this Bear Market before there was even a Bear Market. Back in December, I added a drug stock, Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio because it looked like Big Pharma was getting dollars from investors and traders looking for safe havens.
In February I added oil and natural gas, ahead of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. And since then I’ve added ETFs that track agricultural commodities. An ETF based on the U.S. dollar. And inverse ETFs that are designed to go up when prices in emerging markets or the small-cap sector of the U.S.market do down. And, of course, I’ve been selling: early on consumer stocks that looked vulnerable to inflation and recession and more recently technology stocks with exposure to China and the U.S./China trade war. But WHAT NOW? Here’s where I see investors and the market to be right now.
Special Report: 9 Picks to Make Money in This Bear Market
I expect the current Bear Market to go on for a while. To be clear, I’m looking for a bottom in late 2023 or 2024. Either of those dates is still a long way of. And I’m expecting that the bottom, whenever it arrives, will be significantly lower than the 3600 level on the Stanard & Poor’s 500 that has prevailed recently. I hear speculation about 3,000 on the S&P 500. That’s another 20% below the 3600 level. But I don’t expect that we’ll hit that bottom in a straight line. We’ll have significant Bear Market rallies that suck money off the sidelines just in time to catch another leg lower in the market, for example.
Bear Markets seem determined to inflict maximum pain. So it’s extremely important to play good defense. Sell your riskier positions. Take profits, when you have them, when you see signs that a portfolio favorite, even a long-term favorite, is seeing important negative trends in its business. Make sure that the stocks that you’ve decided to hold through the carnage are stocks you really, really believe in: it can be punishing to hold on and hold on, only to lose faith and sell near a low. Build up cash on the sidelines. Find low-risk cash-like positions to use as safe havens as the Bear continues to prowl. But as important as playing defense is in a Bear Market, there’s no reason to abandon altogether the search for profits. Even in a Bear Market, there will be narrow–and probably fleeting–opportunities to make a profit. And that’s what this Special Report is about–finding ways to make money–9 of them in this take–even in THIS Bear Market.
Coming tomorrow: My Special Report 9 Picks to Make Money in This Bear Market
I’ve decided to hold my Special Report: 9 Picks to Make Money in This Bear Market until after tomorrow’s CPI inflation report.
Special Report–10 Perfect Picks: A Different Kind of Perfect Stock for Long-term Investors in a Different Market with first 6 Picks (LNG,FQVLF, ALB, GM (gasp) FREY, and QCOM)
Is there such a thing as a perfect stock? Depends. Not a chance, if you mean a stock that will be perfect in every market for every time period. No way, if you mean a stock that will go up steadily from the day you buy it. Nah, if you mean a “Buy and Hold Forever Stock.” But there are stocks that are “perfect” for a specific kind of market. And there are stocks that are “perfect” for a specific holding period. And there are stocks that are “perfect” for investors with a specific portfolio goal. And in this Special Report, I’m going to give you 10 of those Perfect Picks.
Repost and October 1 update: Special Report Your Best Investment Strategy for the Next Five Years
Today, October 1, I’ve gone back through this Special Report to update any parts of my calendar in light of what we’ve learned about the economy, about Federal Reserve interest rate policy, and about the global economy in the last few weeks. This update includes my take on the August jobs report and the September 21 meeting of the Fed. (It’s a complete revision of the original so changes are in the body of the original text.) It is different this time. And it’s likely to “be different this time” for the next five years or so. And you need an investment strategy for that period.
Luminar Is My 7th Pick for my Special Report: “Buy the Future for Pennies with These 10 Penny Stock Picks
Luminar Technologies (LAZR) has pretty much all the characteristics the Bear Market hates most right now. The company went public via a SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company), once the hottest “invention” on the stock market and currently one of the most scorned. The company has tiny revenue–just $37.11 million for the trailing 12 months. And big losses: the operating loss for the trailing 12 months is $327.88 million. (The company had $605 million in cash on hand on June 30, 2022.) No wonder the stock is down 56.4% for 2022 as of the close on September 23. The stock traded at $7.49 a share as of 3 p.m. New York time on September 26. But what puts Luminar on my list of Penny Stocks to Buy the Future is that this company is likely to be the largest pure-play supplier of LIDAR (Light Detection and Ranging–think of it as radar that uses lasers and light instead of radio waves) for self-driving cars and for enhanced safety and driver assist technologies on more conventional cars.
Just made Veolia my fourth Special Report water pick
I just added Veolia to my Special Report Water, Water Nowhere: 10 Water Picks for Our Drying World.
September 19 update Special Report “Water, Water Nowhere: 10 Water Stocks to Buy Now–first pick AWK, second pick WTRG, third pick XYL, fourth pick VEOEY (6 more to come)
I’m going to start this Special Report “Water, Water Nowhere: 10 Water Stocks to Buy Now” with a look at the problem and the context surrounding that problem. Before I get to my 10 Water Stocks picks. Don’t we know what the problem is? And isn’t how to invest in water very, very obvious?
Repost and October 1 update: Special Report Your Best Investment Strategy for the Next Five Years
Today, September 5, I’ve gone back through this Special Report to update any parts of my calendar in light of what we’ve learned about the economy, about Federal Reserve interest rate policy, and about the global economy in the last few weeks. This update includes my take on the August jobs report and on recent Fed-speak from the Jackson Hole conference and after. It is different this time. And it’s likely to “be different this time” for the next five years or so. And you need an investment strategy for that period.
Special Report November 30 version: Own the Future for Pennies with my 10 Best Penny Stock Picks–Eight picks so far Tellurian, Nel, Tritium DCFC, Vestas Wind, Natura, Lynas, Luminar, and ESS Tech
Special Report: Own the Future for Pennies with these 10 Penny Stock Picks. Pick No. 1: LNG startup Tellurian. Pick No. 2 Nel. No. 3 Tritium DCFC. Fourth Pick Vestas Wind, Fifth Pick Natura, Si.xth Pick Lynas Rare Earths Stay tuned for 4 more.
The complete Part 3 (including the “out years” through 2027) of my Special Report: Your Best Investment Strategy for the Next 5 Years
And there I thought the hard part was laying out my thoughts on the trends in the market over the next five years. Turns out that outlining investment specifics is even harder. So this is just the first 12 months of picks and positioning for the next five years.
Bonus Special Report: Where to Park Your Cash
The advice is sound, very sound. Move part (at least of your portfolio to cash and sit out the worst of this bear market on the sidelines. And since you have that cash in hand, you’ll be ready to snap up bargains when the market has put in a bottom (or near the bottom, or on the way up from the bottom…or something.) But right now that’s easier said than done.
(September 5 update) Special Report: Your Best Investment Strategy for the Next 5 Years: Part 1 (Why it’s different this time), Part 2 (An investment calendar), and the complete Part 3 (strategies and picks through 2027)
It is different this time: Part 1 and Part 2 of my Special Report: Your Best Investment Strategy for the Next 5 Years. And finally the full Part 3 with strategies and picks for the 5-year period including the “out” years. It’s likely to “be different this time” for the next five years or so. And you need an investment strategy for that period.
Special Report: Fundamentals are back, Baby! Five fundamental value picks–Pick #1 Taiwan Semiconductor and Pick #2 Applied Materials
There are bargains in this market. But how do you find them? Not, clearly, by looking to see what is cheaper than it was. The fear that’s stopping so many investors from loading up the truck now on Nvidia or Disney or Microsoft or Johnson Controls–all stocks that I really, really like for the long term–is that today’s “cheap” stocks will be tomorrow’s even “cheaper” stocks. So it’s time to dig into your investor’s toolbox and dust off those tried and true techniques for using company fundamentals to figure out the value of a stock. And for separating the real values in this sell off from those cheap stocks on the road to being cheaper.
Special Report: You Can Make Money Investing in Climate Change: Here’s How With Four Sectors and First 10 of 12 Stock Picks
All you have to do to find the high profits that will make the risk of investing in climate change stocks worthwhile is to focus on sectors (1) where the rewards are solid and the risk is quantifiable, (2) where companies are making profit the old-fashioned way by building out networks and then charging high rents to use them, by (3) carefully targeting a few technologies (wind and solar and hydrogen and electric cars) that will be part of any mix of solutions, and (4) by investing in bottlenecks that are likely to drive prices up (and provide good profits for companies that resolve the bottleneck.
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