October 2, 2019 | Daily JAM |
Yesterday's disappointing Purchasing Managers Index news on U.S. manufacturing has put two interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve back on Wall Street's expectations.(Economists had expected that the PMI number for September would show the manufacturing sector...
September 18, 2019 | Short Term |
Here's the rather bland statement from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: "In accordance with the FOMC Directive issued September 18, 2019, the Open Market Trading Desk (the Desk) at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York will conduct an overnight repurchase...
September 18, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
Today the Federal Reserve lowered its main interest rate another 25 basis points to a range of 1.75% to 2%. To say that the Fed's Open Market Committee was divided on the decision would be an extreme understatement: Five officials wanted to keep rates unchanged, while...
September 17, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
On Tuesday the Federal Reserve intervened to supply liquidity to the short-term market for Money Market funds by buying $53.2 billion in securities. Late Tuesday the Fed said it was prepared to buy another $75 billion in the report market Wednesday morning. The...
September 17, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
On Tuesday the Federal Reserve bought $53.2 billion of short-term securities to stabilize the market for money market securities. A funding shortage on Monday and Tuesday had led rates on overnight general collateral repurchase agreements to climb as high as 10% and...
September 16, 2019 | CSCO, Daily JAM, GLW, ISRG, PANW, Special Reports |
(A word of apology. I hadn't realized that I had written about this Special Report but never posted it until several readers brought it to my attention last week. My initial reaction was "Impossible! Of course I'd posted it." But checking showed I hadn't. It took...
September 14, 2019 | Daily JAM |
...what else but the Federal Reserve. The U.S. central bank's interest rate setting body, the Open Market Committee, meets on Wednesday, September 18. As of Friday, September 13 the Fed Funds Futures market was pricing in a 78.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut in the...
September 13, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
One way to understand of the recent market action--one way that makes sense to me--is to think of it as a big short squeeze. The drop in Treasury yields and the climb in Treasury prices went to far in August with Treasuries showing their biggest monthly gain in the...
September 6, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The U.S. economy added 130,000 jobs in August. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected 171,000 new jobs. Once you subtracted the 25,000 new temporary jobs added by the government for the 2020 census, the results were even more disappointing with the private...
September 4, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
As of 2 p.m. New York time U.S. stocks were higher on just about no meaningful news. To me it looks like the market wants to climb in the very near term--testing technical momentum to move to 2950 on the Standard & Poor's 500 and maybe beyond. The "reasons" being...
September 1, 2019 | Daily JAM |
... some things in the financial markets will be so similar to what they were before the Labor Day holiday that you might think you were never away at all. Not everything, though. Yes, the U.S.-China trade war will still be hanging fire. And the tariffs on $112...
August 23, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Good news and bad news for investors betting on a signal of lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve in Jerome Powell's speech at today's Jackson Hole central bank festival Financial markets were hoping that Powell would indicate that the Fed is thinking about a...