Trump administration clearly signposts economic policy through 2020 elections
I don't think you can get any clearer than that. The Trump Administration's economy policy through the November 2020 elections can be summed up as cut interest rates and then cut them some more. Here's the evidence. First, the nominees for the two remaining open...
Head of Cleveland Fed argues against July interest rate cut–markets shrugs off her comments
In a speech today, July 2, in London Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, argued against an interest rate cut at the central bank's July 31 meeting. “Cutting rates at this juncture could reinforce negative sentiment about a deterioration in...
Is that inflation we see?
The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, picked up in May by 0.2% from April. That took the annual inflation rate to 1.6%. That was just above the median estimate from economists surveyed by Bloomberg and...
How low can 10-year Treasury yields go? How about another 25 basis points
Today with the yield on the 10-year Treasury down to 2.02%, a drop of 2 basis points, two Wall Street heavy weights are predicting that we haven't seen a bottom in yield yet. Not by a long shot. Goldman Sachs today cut its forecast for the year-end yield on the...
Whoa! on those interest rate cuts, the Fed says
The financial markets are getting ahead of themselves in a bad case of rate cut fever, Fed chair Jerome Powell, and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard both said today. This is a message that I've been waiting to hear as the financial markets moved to price in not a...
Adding Barrick Gold, #3 in my 10 Picks for the Next 6 Months Special Report, to Jubak Picks
It hasn't taken much--fears of war with Iran, a trade war with China, and signals of at least 50 basis points in interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve--but gold has finally broken out of its 5-year trading range. Gold shot higher on June 20, testing the March...
Federal Reserve rhetoric moves strongly toward interest rate cut
So much for "patient." Today after the meeting of the Open Market Committee on interest rates the Federal Reserve announced that it would leave benchmark interest rates at the current 2.25% to 2.50%. But in its words the Fed delivered what the market hoped for--a...
Special Report: 10 Best Picks for the Last Six Months of 2019
This isn't time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in...
Saturday Night Quarterback says (on a Sunday), For the week ahead expect…
... all attention to be on what the Federal Reserve says on Wednesday, June 19, after the meeting of its rate-setting Open Market Committee. Nobody on Wall Street expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at the June meeting--expectations are high for a July...
Trick or trend: 2, maybe 3, real trends in a market of noise
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. I think there...
Saturday Night Quarterback says, For the week ahead expect…
...deafening quiet from the Federal Reserve. With the Federal Reserve scheduled to meet on June 18 and June 19, the Fed has entered its traditional pre-meeting quiet period as of today, June 8. The Fed's schedule shows not a single speech or event scheduled until...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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