January 30, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
It's hard for me to see the Federal Reserve's statement today after the meeting of the Open Market Committee, and then Fed chair Jerome Powell's presentation at the most-meeting press conference, as anything other than capitulation to the financial markets. Back in...
January 30, 2019 | Daily JAM |
Today the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee said it will The Federal Reserve said it will be “patient” on any future interest-rate increases. moves. And it will be flexible and “prepared to adjust any of the details for completing balance sheet normalization in...
January 28, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
Here's one more macro trend to add to your list next to China trade war, Fed interest rates, and government shutdown. In 2019 the U.S. Treasury Department will maintain its sales of Treasuries at record levels near $1 trillion in new issuance for a second year in a...
January 20, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. The character...
January 9, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
So what, exactly, didn't the markets like about the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting? After an initial spike to the day's high at 2595 at 2:09 p.m. New York time, nine minutes after the 2:00 p.m. release of the minutes, the Standard & Poor's 500...
January 9, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
In the last few days the heads of the Chicago, Boston, Atlanta, St.Louis, Dallas, and Cleveland Federal Reserve Banks have all said that the Federal Reserve will be patient on any interest rate increases in 2019 with even the most hawkish officials, such as Boston's...
January 7, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility |
U.S. stocks moved toward a key test on Monday with the Standard & Poor's 500 approaching the 2550 to 2600 level that signals the top of the recent volatility range and likely technical resistance. If the index breaks above this level, the market could run higher...
January 7, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
It's an extraordinarily busy week for the Federal Reserve--verbiage wise. Saturday, January 5, John Williams, head of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, Raphael Bostic of the Atlanta Fed, and Mary Daly of the San Francisco Red all spoke. Today, January 7, Bostic...
January 4, 2019 | Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Today's big...
January 4, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The U.S. economy added 312,000 jobs in December, the Labor Department reported this morning. The government statisticians also revised November's report to show the addition of 176,000 jobs instead of the prior report of 155,000. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com...
January 3, 2019 | Daily JAM |
Inquiring minds want to know what the Federal Reserve is going to do about interest rates and when. Pending a big surprise in the December jobs numbers to be reported tomorrow, the financial markets will finish the week convinced that the Fed will not raise interest...
January 2, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
China and other export-oriented Asian economies delivered really grim news on growth last night and yet U.S. stocks have refused to move into the red. As of 2:20 p.m. New York time on Thursday the Standard & Poor's 500 index was up 0.07% The NASDAQ Composite was...