June 13, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Millennial, Stock Alerts |
I posted Friday, June 11, that investors looking for a theme to buy in an expensive market had turned to Cyber Security stocks. Makes sense, I noted, with ransomware attacks running at a fast pace and forecast pointing to even more attacks on corporate and government systems in the months (years?) ahead. I wrote that in this sector I already owned Palo Alto Networks in my Jubak Picks Portfolio where the stock is up 79% since I added this position on June 27, 2019, and in my 50 Stocks Portfolio where it is up 50% since I added this position on January 21, 2020, and in my new Millennial Portfolio where the position is up 0.94% since I added it on May 21, 2021. And that I would be adding another Cyber Security stock, CrowdStrike Holdings, to my Jubak Picks and Millennial portfolios on Monday, June 14
June 2, 2021 | Daily JAM, DNNGY, Jubak Picks, SMOG, VWDRY |
I don’t think 2021 is going to be an especially good year for Tesla and it will be tough across the auto industry. That means, if I’m right, that this ETF’s heavy exposure to Tesla (and to Nio) is going to be a drag on what I see as a likely recovery in the wind power stocks Iberdrola, Orsted, and Vestas Wind Systems that all are top 10 portfolio holdings in the ETF. I’d rather play any wind power rally through these stocks–I own Orsted (DNNGY) and Vestas (VWDRY) in my Jubak Picks Portfolio–than though this ETF with its drag from Tesla in 2021. I will sell the VanEck Vectors Low Carbon Energy ETF out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio tomorrow June 3.
May 25, 2021 | Daily JAM, EQNR, Jubak Picks, Stock Alerts |
Oil prices have bounced back big time and with them the prices on oil stocks. I still think the long-term trend is against oil producers as efforts to combat global warming lead to lower consumption of fossil fuels. And I’d prefer not to own any oil and natural gas shares–even in as “progressive” a company as Equinor. I’m going to take advantage of the rally in oil prices to sell these shares out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio with a small 0.9% gain since I established that position in May 2012.
May 21, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Millennial, PANW |
Yesterday, May 20, after the market closed, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) reported third-quarter fiscal 2021 non-GAAP earnings of $1.38 per share. That beat the Wall Street consensus by almost 8%. Last earnings for the third quarter of the fiscal year were $1.17. Revenue gained 24% year over year to $1.07 billion. That was slightly above the Wall Street projection of $1.06 billion. After the earnings announcement the company raised guidance for the fiscal 2021 fourth quarter to project earnings per share of $1.42 to $.44 and year over year revenue growth of 23$ to 24% to $1.65 billion to $1.715 billion. For all of fiscal 2021 the company forecast adjusted earnings of $5.97 to $5.99 a share. That was up from an earlier projection of $5.80 to $5.90 a share.
May 11, 2021 | Daily JAM, DE, Long Term, Millennial, SCCO |
Sure looks like a market struggling with rotations between growth and value stocks. One day the growth stocks sell off on fears of higher interest rates and rising inflation or something–and because after such a strong rally in the style growth stocks are very expensive. And that same day value stocks move higher because increasing economic growth is a very, very good thing for a style that depends on a strong economy for much of its revenue gains. The next day the market’s preference reverses and growth again outperforms value. What’s a poor investor to do? Especially the long-term investors with very long time horizons that are the focus for my new “Millennial Portfolio (for investors with more time than money.)” How about a few stocks that offer both growth and value? I’ve got two stocks today that I’m going to add to the Millennial Portfolio: Deere (DE) and Southern Copper (SCCO)
May 4, 2021 | Daily JAM, DE, Jubak Picks, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks |
Wheat prices hit new highs at $7.46 a bushel at the end of April. That the highest since February 2013. Corn climbed to a new eight year high. The day soybeans rose for a tenth straight session to reach on eight year high.
When the prices of farm commodities climb, it’s tough times ahead at the grocery store for consumers. But it’s good times ahead for farmers and that means increasing sales of tractors and other farm equipment for Deere (DE). I’m adding the shares to my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio
April 30, 2021 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks, WH |
When it comes down to company earnings, we’re seeing a huge lag in revenue growth for companies in the service sector. Wyndham Hotels and Resorts (WH),for example, which reported first quarter results today, April 30, saw revenue fall to $303 million in the first quarter of 2021 from $410 in the first quarter of 2020. But, and I think this is the clear implication of the first quarter GDP numbers, those service companies will close that gap in the June quarter as companies open more services–Disney (DIS) opened its California theme parks today, for example–and consumers feel safer in going to theme parks or restaurants or gyms.
April 28, 2021 | Daily JAM, Dividend Income, FCX, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Copper has rallied–again–to a new 10-year high and that has taken Freeport McMoRan Copper and Gold to $39.53 today, April 28, as of 3:50 p.m.. That’s above my target price in my Jubak Picks Portfolio of $34. So today I’m selling this position. The stock is up 39.34% as of 3:50 p.m. New York time since I added it to the portfolio on January 6, 2021. I still have substantial exposure to copper through my positions in Southern Copper (SCCO) in my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio and in my Dividend Portfolio.
April 28, 2021 | Daily JAM, ISRG, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Today, April 28, I’m selling Intuitive Surgical out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio with a 9.39% gain since February 15. I think the shares are fully valued here (or perhaps over-valued if there is such a thing anymore in this market) and I’d like to have some more cash just in case”something” creates a little volatility in the financial markets.
April 21, 2021 | Daily JAM, ISRG, Jubak Picks, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks |
Yesterday, April 20, after the market close Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) reported first quarter GAAP earnings of $3.51 a share, $1.47 a share above Wall Street estimates. Non-GAAP earnings of $3.52 were 89 cents a share above analyst expectations. Revenue for the quarter climbed to $1.3 billion, up 18% from the first quarter of 2020. In 2020 sales of the company’s robotic surgery systems, dropped to $4.4 billion from $4.5 billion in 2019 as hospitals halted elective surgeries during the pandemic. I added the shares to my Jubak Picks Portfolio on February 15, 2021 on expectations with in a post-vaccine global economy sales of its da Vinci Surgical Systems would rebound strongly. In the first quarter the company shipped 298 de Vinci systems versus 237 in the first quarter of 2020. As of 3:45 p.m. New York time today, Intuitive Surgical share were up 9.50% to $888.10. That exceeds my target of $860 a share and I’ll be looking to sell the shares sometime in the next couple of weeks after I’ve received the full benefit from a positive earnings season for BIG TECH stocks.
April 19, 2021 | AMAT, ASML, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks, TSM |
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the globes biggest independent chip foundry, said last week that it expects the chip shortage that has left automakers scrambling for silicon and cutting back production will be over by the end of the third quarter. Whether that’s good news or not depends on how much weight you give to this company’s projections.
April 7, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Volatility, WH |
Today, I’m going to review the fundamental case for Wyndham shares (the reason I added it to Jubak Picks on March 17) and give you the details on the Call Option on Wyndham that I’ll be adding to my Volatility Portfolio tomorrow.
