July 11, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
In the second day of his semi-annual testimony to Congress--this time in front of the Senate--Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell sounded even more likely to support an interest rate cut at the central bank's July meeting. The Fed has room to cut rates, he said,...
July 2, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
A day after OPEC agreed on a deal to extend current production cuts until March 2020, Russia and nine other non-OPEC producers agree to a matching nine-month extension of supply cuts. In some oil markets, the news would have sparked a rally in oil prices. Less supply...
June 26, 2019 | Daily JAM, PE, PXD |
U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude is now up 10% for the week following on a 2.44% jump in price to $59.24 a barrel today. International benchmark Brent crude gained 1.94% to $66.31 a barrel. Continued tensions between the United States and Iran, of course,...
June 25, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The financial markets are getting ahead of themselves in a bad case of rate cut fever, Fed chair Jerome Powell, and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard both said today. This is a message that I've been waiting to hear as the financial markets moved to price in not a...
June 20, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
U.S. crude benchmark West Texas Intermediate climbed 5.23% to $56.57 a barrel as of 2:30 p.m. New York time today June 20. International benchmark Brent crude rose 4.03% to $64.31 a barrel. A U.S. drone was shot down by Iran in Iranian territory according to Iran or...
June 18, 2019 | CTVA, Daily JAM, Special Reports, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
This isn't  time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in...
June 17, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Oil markets today are asking reasonably if OPEC can't agree on a date for talks on extending production cuts, then what hope is there for an actual agreement to cut oil production? Iran has backed away from its insistence that OPEC meet in June as originally...
June 14, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, Mid Term |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. I think there...
June 13, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, PE |
For the second time in a month two oil tankers came under attack in international waters near the strategic Strait of Hormuz. One ship, a Japanese-owned tanker carrying methanol, was apparently attacked by limpet bombs attached to its hull or by a mine. The second...
June 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
Oil slumped to its lowest in almost five months and international benchmark Brent crude book below $60 a barrel today, June 12. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate fell 4% today to $51.14 a barrel, threatening the $50 a barrel psychological benchmark. Brent fell...
June 6, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Tomorrow, Friday, June 7, brings the May jobs report. Right now economists surveyed by Bloomberg are looking for the economy to add a robust 175,000 jobs with unemployment holding steady at 3.6% (as 49-year low) and average hourly wages growing at a very positive 3.2%...
May 30, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
Sometimes it's better to just weigh the news rather than try to analyze it. And that certainly seems to fit today's market action. Even though the major U.S. indexes managed slight gains as of the close today--the Standard & Poor's 500, for example, was ahead...