June 25, 2019 | Daily JAM, DIS, Special Reports |
The Standard & Poor's 500 closed at a new all-time high on June 20 at 2954.18. It's easy in today's market to find stocks trading at astronomical price to earnings ratios. Amazon (AMZN) sell for 79.90 times trailing twelve-month earnings per share. Netflix (NFLX)...
June 18, 2019 | CTVA, Daily JAM, Special Reports, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
This isn't time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in...
June 5, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Special Reports |
Finally, Part 1 The Crisis in Global Demand, from my Special Report: The Crisis in Global Capitalism and 5 Ways to Position Your Portfolio. On May 29, U.S. stocks took another step lower with the Standard & Poor's 500 closing down 0.69% at 2783. News reports on...
April 16, 2019 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
When I set out to research and write my recent Special Report Five Sector Facing Disruption That Could Crush Your Portfolio I wanted to focus on the "destruction" side of the process of "creative destruction" that makes up economic growth in our capitalist system. The...
April 11, 2019 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
As Monty Python's Flying Circus so memorably admonished, Nobody ever expects the Spanish Inquisition. But investors should expect disruption. Thanks to the missionary work of Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter, Wall Street, capital markets, and investors all know...
April 1, 2019 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
My thesis--the one I argued in my Special Report: 10 dangerous stocks for this earnings season--is that the earnings season for the first quarter that begins on April 12 with reports from the Big Banks is likely to be especially volatile. And stock that misses analyst...
March 26, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Special Reports |
That famous futures trader Marc Antony famously said "Beware the Ides of April." Okay, the guy had a mixed performance record. Short Brutus but long Cleopatra. But his advice about April 2019 is good. The Ides of April fall on the 13th of the month. And what promises...
February 20, 2019 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
The U.S. stock market is worried about an economy recession--two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth--and an earnings recession--two consecutive quarters of negative growth for the stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500. Neither is certain. But of the two an...
January 15, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Special Reports, Volatility |
Is the bear market over? And if it is, what stocks should you target as "best buys." The first is a really, really tough question to answer now. News of new efforts to stimulate economic growth in China helped push the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index over...
December 21, 2018 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Special Reports |
This Special Report was revised--extensively- on December 21. When I posted the first version of this Special Report back in November, the bear market was just a possibility--although a highly likely possibility--and my best projection on how the market would develop...
December 14, 2018 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
$23 trillion. It's a big enough number to get my attention. On Monday, December 10, 415 investment managers, pension funds, and insurers, told the ministers gathered for the United Nations climate summit in Katowice, Poland, that the world faces a financial crash...
November 27, 2018 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Special Reports, WST |
Two robins don't make a spring. And two bounces--even when one of them is a really big bounce like that of Wednesday November 28--don't make a January Effect Rally in small company stocks. But it sure looks to me like the sector is setting up for a typical January...