Volatility
It’s important to remember on this down, down, down day that an earnings growth slump in 2019 and a 2019 recession aren’t the same thing
It's hard to take a step back on a day when the Dow Jones Industrial average closed down more than 700 points (and 3.10%), but that's exactly what I'm going to suggest. The huge sell off was driven by three major factors in my opinion. First, the U.S. stock market...Good news and bad news on risk today after Trump-Xi “success”
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What’s ahead for this market? Does it turn into a true bear?
If you own any of the big technology stocks that led the U.S. higher in the first eight months of 2018, the losses over the last six weeks sure make this feel like a bear market. Remember that the classical definition of a bear market is a drop from the high of 20% or...
Oil plunges again–what’s next?
Oil prices went into free fall today, continuing the bear market in the commodity. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate fell 7.73% on the day to $55.30 a barrel. International benchmark Brent dropped 7.05% to $65.18 a barrel. Yesterday oil had rallied on news out of...
Stocks climb on news that U.S. and China talking again on trade
It's certainly a long way from here to an agreement on trade between the United States and China, but news that the two sides are talking again has boosted stocks in New York. After all, there can't be any agreement if the two sides aren't talking and without some...
Intrexon gets killed on earnings miss–adding the shares to my Volatility Portfolio
Back in my video "Biotech marijuana: What Took So Long?" on October 22, I said that I would buy shares of Intrexon (XON) if it closed above resistance. On yesterday's earnings miss, the shares plunged--forget about closing above resistance--by 18.38% to $10.79 as of 3...
How low can the VIX volatility index go?
The trend is still down, in my opinion, despite today's slight gain in the volatility index. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear index" because it measures how much traders and investors are willing to pay to hedge risk in the S&P...
How could Apple be so stupid?
Let's see. You're a company running into serious global headwinds in a maturing (or mature market) that are raising huge doubts about your ability to increase unit sales quarter to quarter for your core product. You: a) Grimly admit that unit sales are stagnant and...
Apple ahead of earnings: What to watch, what to expect
Apple (AAPL) reports earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter (the quarter that ended in September) after the market close in New York tonight. Right now, at 2:30 the shares are down 0.05% to $218.76. I bought the Apple January 18, 2019 calls with a strike price of $225...
Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…
... the return of stock buybacks to U.S. markets. It's not a cure all for recent market weakness but the return of corporate buyers will certainly help support share prices. JP Morgan projects that U.S. buybacks will hit $900 billion to $1 trillion in 2018. That's up...
Today this looks increasingly like a market in sector rotation
The major U.S. indexes opened the day strongly lower on disappointing earnings news and guidance from Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOG) after the market close yesterday. But the markets reversed in the morning going--the low for the day for the Standard & Poor's...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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