September 26, 2022 | Daily JAM, LAZR, Millennial, Special Reports |
Luminar Technologies (LAZR) has pretty much all the characteristics the Bear Market hates most right now. The company went public via a SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company), once the hottest “invention” on the stock market and currently one of the most scorned. The company has tiny revenue–just $37.11 million for the trailing 12 months. And big losses: the operating loss for the trailing 12 months is $327.88 million. (The company had $605 million in cash on hand on June 30, 2022.) No wonder the stock is down 56.4% for 2022 as of the close on September 23. The stock traded at $7.49 a share as of 3 p.m. New York time on September 26. But what puts Luminar on my list of Penny Stocks to Buy the Future is that this company is likely to be the largest pure-play supplier of LIDAR (Light Detection and Ranging–think of it as radar that uses lasers and light instead of radio waves) for self-driving cars and for enhanced safety and driver assist technologies on more conventional cars.
September 26, 2022 | COST, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks |
Shares of Costco Wholesale closed up 2.98% on September 26. The advance against the grain of a generally down market comes after the company announced a beat on both revenue and earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter on Thursday, September 22.
September 22, 2022 | Daily JAM, JO, Videos, Volatility |
Today’s Quick Pick: JO (NYSEARCA: JO) otherwise known as Barclays iPath Bloomberg Coffee Subindex Total Return ETN Series B. As I’ve shown you in the video, I’m growing my own coffee plant to head off the coffee shortages we’re seeing now (first beans projected in 2028; enough for a cup? 2032), and will likely continue to see long-term. Brazil is the world’s largest producer of coffee but its inventory is projected to drop to about 7 million bags by March, (well below the comfort level of about 9-12 million bags.) A long-lasting drought is to blame for the shortages–and that dicey weather is likely to be with us for quite a while. Meanwhile, global coffee consumption is going up by 1.5% projected this year (2% last year). While JO is volatile since it trades on the commodity price, what interests me about it at the moment is that it’s NOT correlated to anything else like interest rates or inflation (though it definitely contributes to inflation as coffee drinkers well know.) This ETN will continue to go up, even if the market goes down. (JO is a member of my Volatility Portfolio on my subscription JubakAM.com site.)
September 21, 2022 | Daily JAM, F |
My one-hundred-and-seventy-eighth YouTube video: “Ford Drops a Bombshell on the Market” went up today. Ford (NYSE: F) came out on Monday with a pre-announcement on third-quarter earnings that was pretty grim – not just for them, but for the market and global economy as a whole. Instead of Ford’s expected $3 billion in operating profits for the third quarter, the pre-announcement stated it will actually be closer to $1.4 -1.7 billion. This of course caused the stock to plunge by 9.18% by 11 am the following day. The reason the earnings were so disappointing is a continuing supply chain problem that has left them with 40,000-50,000 “uncompleted cars” awaiting computer chips. This is why I think it represents a larger problem within the global economy: supply chain issues and inflationary costs cutting into profit margins.
September 20, 2022 | ALB, Daily JAM, LICY, TSLA |
It’s time to move on from relief/enthusiasm/grudging acceptance of the $369 billion in the Inflation Reduction Act for programs designed to speed up the transition to clean energy and to de-carbonize the economy. The surprise–and in many quarters–appreciation that the United States is doing anything–and it’s a big anything–about climate change has led to big rallies in the stocks of electric vehicle charging companies and hydrogen-economy pioneers. For example, EVgo (EVGO), obviously, I think< an electric vehicle charging stock is up 48.14% in the last month as of the close on August 17. Plug Power (PLUG), one of those hydrogen economy pioneers, is up 84,15% in the last month as of the August 17 close.But I think it's time to go from the general amazement stage to an examination of what companies--and stocks--are actually going to be winners because of the Inflation Reduction Act. (And I say that not only because some of these early winners have started to show some weakness--profit taking perhaps. But also I would pay attention to these near-term trends. EVgo, for example, fell to $10.74 a share on August 17 from $12.02 on August 16. That's a 10.6% tumble.) The bill as finally passed is a masterpiece of compromises and add-ons that mean that many of the top line dollars won't wind up where recent headlines have suggested. My take?
September 15, 2022 | Daily JAM, EVGO, Millennial, Morning Briefing, Volatility |
Wednesday, September 14, President Joe Biden used a visit to the Detroit Auto Show to announce the release of the first $900 million in funding for the buildout of a national network of charging stations for electric vehicles. The funding, part of $7.5 billion in the Infrastructure bill to build out a network of 500,000 charging stations, would go to 35 stations to build charging networks along 53,000 miles of highways. Today, the sector is moving up rapidly with ChargePoint up 8.60% and EVgo up 12.16% as of 2:30 p.m. New York time.
September 14, 2022 | Daily JAM, XYL |
You can find the gradually larger water Special Report in the Special Reports section of the site. Xylem is the most recent addition to the list of 10.
September 12, 2022 | Daily JAM, Dividend Income, Videos, VZ |
My one-hundred-and-seventy-fourth YouTube video: “Quick Pick Verizon” went up today. Verizon (VZ) is hated by everybody, but if you’re looking for a high-yield stock (safe but without a whole lot of price appreciation in all probability) with consistent dividend increases, Verizon will get the job done for your portfolio. I own it in my Dividend Portfolio and love the yield.
August 30, 2022 | Daily JAM, Millennial, TELL |
Shares of liquified natural gas startup Tellurian (TELL) fell 14.44% yesterday and are down another 3.64% today, August 30, as of 1 p.m. New York time. What’s up? And should you be worried if you own shares? Thanks to watching (and owning) Cheniere (LNG) during the years when that company got its liquified natural gas export facility online, I think investors have a pretty good idea of what to expect from Tellurian as it treads much the same path. Yesterday produced news in two areas that exactly match up with investor concerns during this period of Tellurian’s growth.
August 26, 2022 | CORN, Daily JAM, DBA, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
Pretty much everything got clobbered today after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell promised that the Fed would raise interest rates and keep them high until inflation is under control. In other words, no quick turn to cutting interest rates in the second half of 2023. So chip stocks were down today, August 26, with Nvidia (NVDA) plunging 9.23% at the close. Consumer stocks were down with Shake Shack (SHAK) tumbling 8.61%. Financial technology stocks were down with Block (SQ) shedding 7.72%. Climate change stocks, an extremely hot sector lately, were down with EVgo (EVGO) bleeding 7.86%. Hide in gold? No way. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) was down 1.22%. (Better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick, I suppose.) But agricultural commodity ETFs? Green in a sea of red.
August 26, 2022 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, UUP |
Well, that was short and direct. Especially for the Federal Reserve. In a speech of less than 10 minutes Fed chair Jerome Powell warned financial markets to expect that the central bank will keep raising interest rates and will then leave them at higher levels for some time in order to control inflation. Stocks dropped on Powell’s remarks with the S&P 500 down 2.80% at 3 p.m. New York time.
August 25, 2022 | ALB, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Lithium producer Albemarle (ALB) closed up 2.71% today after hitting an all-time high of $298.17 in intraday trading. The shares closed at $295.68. The gains for Albemarle, and across the lithium sector, came as Goldman Sachs upgraded lithium battery maker Freyr Battery (FREY) on projected higher demand for lithium batteries after the Inflation Reduction Act. Albemarle is a member of my Jubak Picks Portfolio where it is up 200.18% since my August 10, 2018 stock pick. The stock is also a member of my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio where it is up 221.67% since February 17, 2017.