June 21, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Remember way back at the beginning of last week? That is before the Federal Reserve signaled on Wednesday that more of the members of its Open Market Committee were thinking about raising interest rates sooner than previously expected. Re-opening stocks, value stocks, and cyclical stocks led the market. The small cap Russell 2000 was the best performing of the major indexes. Well, they’re back
February 24, 2021 | Daily JAM, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twelfth YouTube video “5 Picks for the Next Six Months” went up today.
February 23, 2021 | Daily JAM |
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell didn’t take all worry off Wall Street’s plate, but he did downsize the portion.
February 17, 2021 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Special Reports, You Might Have Missed |
2021 is shaping up as an especially challenging year for investors. Much, much more challenging than 2020. I don’t think we can count on this rally running uninterrupted through the year. That would be simple, wouldn’t it? We’d all know how to profit from that scenario. And I don’t think the market is about to drop off a cliff from its current record highs. That would be traumatic. But, still, we do know how to protect a portfolio in that scenario. And even how to profit from a prolonged plunge–if we can bring ourselves to place those short and Put Options bets. Instead 2021 is likely to be one of those years with a Rally Stage and then a correction (or “something”) to be followed by a last quarter of 2021 that is, at this moment, close to completely unpredictable. That would make 2021 one of those years that gives investors a chance to be wrong several times over, to botch timing on the upside and the downside, and to let emotions power some really bad investment moves. I don’t pretend that I’ve got this year’s market stages down perfectly–although I think the outlines for the first two stages for 2021 are pretty clear. I don’t imagine that I’ve got the timing for navigating these stages clocked perfectly–although I do think I understand “generally” when the market is likely to switch gears. And that lets me lay out for you a likely pattern for 2021 and to suggest stocks and ETFs to use to navigate this year. Part of the point in getting as specific as I can at this point isn’t that I expect that I’ve got everything right, but to lay out concrete markers that will let you and me adjust portfolios as the year progresses. I’m dividing this Special Report into three parts.
November 7, 2020 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. On Friday...
November 2, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
To my way of thinking, investors and traders got ahead of themselves today. With election day still a day away, stocks in economically sensitive sectors moved up while stocks of the technology companies that have been able to show revenue growth even during the...
October 27, 2020 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
Before the coronavirus pandemic, I used to eat breakfast a couple of times a week at the Manchester Diner a few blocks from my house. Then one day the diner just closed. Common enough in New York City where small local restaurants can go out of business over night...
October 25, 2020 | Daily JAM |
...huge numbers of earnings reports in the coming week with 93 on Monday, 178 on Tuesday, 319 on Wednesday, 397 on Thursday, and 81 on Friday. Let me pick out a few that have extra significance. On Tuesday Microsoft (MSFT), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Caterpillar...
September 2, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
At the close today, the Standard & Poor's 500 was up another 1.54%. Putting this question at the top of many investors' and traders' minds: Is there any way to participate in this blow out rally without real adding an unacceptable amount of risk? The 5.83% drop in...
July 24, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Stock Alerts |
Caterpillar (CAT) reported second quarter earnings this morning of $2.83 a share, well below the $3.11 a share expected by Wall Street analysts. And then, to make the future as grim as the present, Caterpillar rearmed its earnings guidance for the fiscal 2019 year of...
May 10, 2019 | CAT, Daily JAM, DE, LNG, Volatility |
Whatever the ultimate end point of the trade talks between the United State and China, the next step is almost certainly the announcement of retaliatory measures by China in the wake of the Trump administration's decision to raise tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese...
January 28, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, NVDA |
Disappointing earnings from Caterpillar (CAT) and an earnings warning from Nvidia (NVDA) sent stocks down this morning, negating overnight enthusiasm in Asian markets at the end of the partial shutdown of the U.S. government. The miss from Caterpillar took those...