Good news on the debt ceiling: Government not likely to run out of money until October!
The legislation that suspended the debt ceiling limit on borrowing by the federal government expires on March 2. The likelihood that Congress will put aside its other conflicts and extend that suspension or pass a clean increase in the debt ceiling is just about nil....
Buying this yen ETF for Jubak Picks to hedge market risk–and maybe gain 5% or so
Yesterday in a post "One consequence of change in Fed policy likely to be a weaker dollar" I noted that a number of Wall Street and big international banks have forecast a drop in the dollar as a result of the Fed's decision to back off on raising interest rates in...
One consequence of the change in Fed policy likely to be a weaker dollar
A number of Wall Street and big international banks are forecasting a drop in the dollar as a result of the Fed's decision to back off on raising interest rates in 2019. Morgan Stanley, for example, says that the dollar has peaked and has forecast the yen climbing to...
Even as deal is struck to end shutdown, gold soars
Gold hit a seven month high on Friday, gaining more than 1%. Spot gold briefly broke above $1300 an ounce. Gold futures climbed 1.5% to $1,298.30 an ounce. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) climbed 1.46% to $122.86 on volume 10% above the daily average. The 52-week high...
China data nudge to global growth fears
Overnight, China reported as larger than expected December trade surplus ($57.06 billion against an expected $51.53 billion) but a December year over year 7.6% drop in imports that argued for a slowdown in China's domestic economy. Economists had expected a 5%...
Adding yen exposure to Jubak Picks and Volatility Portfolios
On December 27 I switched to the Invesco Currency Shares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) from the Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA) in my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio in an effort to get more yen exposure and a little more safety during this Bear market. Tomorrow I'm going...
Asian manufacturing data spur stock tumble
It's not just China anymore. Unfortunately. The Caixin Media and IHS Markit Purchasing Managers Index for China's manufacturing sector fell to 49.7 in December from 50.2, its lowest reading since May 2017. That confirms a trend seen in the official government PMI on...
Stocks take Trumps’s Saturday tweet of “big progress” in China trade talks with a grain of salt
On Saturday President Donald Trump reported “big progress” in trade talks with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping after a long phone call on Saturday. The President added that negotiations were “moving along very well” toward a comprehensive deal. The statement from...
IMF warns on slowing global growth ahead of G20 summit
The ink is barely dry on the October 9 World Economic Update from the International Monetary Fund, which warned of the dangers of slowing global growth ahead. But the IMF is at it again. The fund has downgraded its forecast from the already downgraded October forecast...
One more for the list: ECB starts countdown to euro decision on December 13
On December 13 the European Central Bank will decide whether to cap its $2.9 trillion program of bond buying as planned. The bank had decided that Europe's economy was strong enough for the central bank to wind down its purchases of bonds that have kept interest rates...
Is this the end of the dollar run? The problem is nobody knows
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series ( running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. The U.S. dollar has...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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