July 19, 2023 | Daily JAM, Videos |
Today’s video is Earnings: It’s All About Surprise. Good news is good, but it doesn’t necessarily move markets. On Friday, July 14, JPMorgan Chase came out with a stellar earnings report–but other stocks in the sector moved down on a belief that these banks wouldn’t match JPMorgans good news. However, SURPRISE! On July 18, Bank of America came out with a very good earnings report, and the stock popped by 4.2%. Bank of America surprised the market with a big bump from its Wall Street trading operations. On the surprise, Bank of America actually moved the entire banking index up 2.29%. On the negative side, regional bank PNC Bank surprised negatively with a cut to its full year guidance from 6-8% to 5-6%, and the stock, of course, fell. (Early in the day although it recovered by the close.) Keep all this in mind as we head into earnings season for technology companies, where expectations are often very high. Apple is one of the first to report and will set the tone for the second quarter which is typically a weaker quarter in the technology sector.T
July 27, 2021 | Daily JAM, MSFT, Short Term, Volatility |
With everything tech (just about) selling off today (along with the rest of the market) and with the shares of the tech companies due to report today dropping as well, I think the odds have improved for a bounce in those reporting companies on earnings surprises. Microsoft (MSFT) is due to report today after the close and I think there’s a good likelihood that the company will post even better than expected numbers from its Azure Cloud business.
July 1, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
Yesterday in my video “3 Picks for an Earnings Blowout” I argued the case that even the 61% second quarter year to year jump in earnings in the Wall Street analyst consensus was understated.. There’s a very high likelihood that we’ll see lots of positive earnings surprise in the second quarter earnings season the begins on July 13 when JPMorgan Chase reports earnings before the market opens. In that video I suggested three stocks JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as picks to play that second quarter earnings surprise. Today I’m adding one of these Advanced Micro Devices to my online portfolio with shares in my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio and Call Options in my Volatility Portfolio.
October 21, 2020 | Daily JAM, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
On October 15 I noted that the hike in revenue guidance from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) on huge demand for its chips in AI and gaming (among other sectors) was good news for gaming, AI, and data center leader Nvidia (NVDA.) And I hinted at buying shares...
July 16, 2018 | BAC, Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
Shares of Bank of America (BAC) closed 4.27% higher today after the company announced second quarter earnings of 63 cents a share, 6 cents a share above the Wall Street consensus. Revenue fell 0.9% year over year but at $22.6 billion it still exceeded the $22.5...
May 9, 2018 | Daily JAM, SEDG, Stock Alerts |
SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG), a member of my Jubak Picks portfolio, reported first quarter earnings today after the New York markets closed of 87 cents a share, 7 cents a share better than Wall Street projections. Revenue climbed 82.4% year over year (and 10.8% from...
April 13, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
By and large the big banks reporting first quarter earnings today modestly beat Wall Street earnings expectations. And after some initial moves higher, all the stocks have sold off strongly as of noon New York time.
But it’s a Friday–which in these high volatility times usually means selling before the weekend. And the beats are modest so it’s possible that some investors are actually disappointed. All in all, not the tell for how traders and investors will react during the rest of earnings season that I was hoping for yesterday.
April 13, 2018 | BAC, Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
Financial stocks led the Standard & Poor’s 500 higher on Thursday as the Financial Sector Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) gained 1.75% to beat the 0.83% rise in the S&P 500. Sure felt to me like the sector was anticipating the earnings reports from the big banks due on Friday morning before the market open. Earnings from the financial sector open first quarter earnings season.
July 20, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Shares of Microsoft (MSFT) closed up 5.31% today after the company announced earnings that beat Wall Street projections. It’s always worth taking a look at what “beating Wall Street projections” actually means in any specific case. Lowering projections and then beating them is an old Wall Street game–and it seems that’s what we’re seeing here.
October 18, 2012 | Daily JAM, GOOG |
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...
October 11, 2012 | Daily JAM, Videos |
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...
April 28, 2011 | Daily JAM |
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...