Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Earnings It’s All About Surprise

Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Earnings It’s All About Surprise

Today’s video is Earnings: It’s All About Surprise. Good news is good, but it doesn’t necessarily move markets. On Friday, July 14, JPMorgan Chase came out with a stellar earnings report–but other stocks in the sector moved down on a belief that these banks wouldn’t match JPMorgans good news. However, SURPRISE! On July 18, Bank of America came out with a very good earnings report, and the stock popped by 4.2%. Bank of America surprised the market with a big bump from its Wall Street trading operations. On the surprise, Bank of America actually moved the entire banking index up 2.29%. On the negative side, regional bank PNC Bank surprised negatively with a cut to its full year guidance from 6-8% to 5-6%, and the stock, of course, fell. (Early in the day although it recovered by the close.) Keep all this in mind as we head into earnings season for technology companies, where expectations are often very high. Apple is one of the first to report and will set the tone for the second quarter which is typically a weaker quarter in the technology sector.T

An odd market before tech earnings #3: I’m buying Call Options on MSFT ahead of today’s report

An odd market before tech earnings #3: I’m buying Call Options on MSFT ahead of today’s report

With everything tech (just about) selling off today (along with the rest of the market) and with the shares of the tech companies due to report today dropping as well, I think the odds have improved for a bounce in those reporting companies on earnings surprises. Microsoft (MSFT) is due to report today after the close and I think there’s a good likelihood that the company will post even better than expected numbers from its Azure Cloud business.

Buying AMD shares and options tomorrow as my play on a second quarter earnings season surprise

Buying AMD shares and options tomorrow as my play on a second quarter earnings season surprise

Yesterday in my video “3 Picks for an Earnings Blowout” I argued the case that even the 61% second quarter year to year jump in earnings in the Wall Street analyst consensus was understated.. There’s a very high likelihood that we’ll see lots of positive earnings surprise in the second quarter earnings season the begins on July 13 when JPMorgan Chase reports earnings before the market opens. In that video I suggested three stocks JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as picks to play that second quarter earnings surprise. Today I’m adding one of these Advanced Micro Devices to my online portfolio with shares in my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio and Call Options in my Volatility Portfolio.

Profit taking on bank earnings–but what’s it mean?

Profit taking on bank earnings–but what’s it mean?

By and large the big banks reporting first quarter earnings today modestly beat Wall Street earnings expectations. And after some initial moves higher, all the stocks have sold off strongly as of noon New York time.

But it’s a Friday–which in these high volatility times usually means selling before the weekend. And the beats are modest so it’s possible that some investors are actually disappointed. All in all, not the tell for how traders and investors will react during the rest of earnings season that I was hoping for yesterday.

Thursday’s action shows just how eager Wall Street is to move on to earnings season

Thursday’s action shows just how eager Wall Street is to move on to earnings season

Financial stocks led the Standard & Poor’s 500 higher on Thursday as the Financial Sector Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) gained 1.75% to beat the 0.83% rise in the S&P 500. Sure felt to me like the sector was anticipating the earnings reports from the big banks due on Friday morning before the market open. Earnings from the financial sector open first quarter earnings season.

What a surprise! Google files early and ugly

What a surprise! Google files early and ugly

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