September 14, 2023 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
The European Central Bank raised its main deposit rate by a quarter of one per cent to 4% today. That’s the highest level in the history of the euro. Economists are suggesting–maybe “hoping” would be a better word–that this will be the last interest rate increase in this cycle for the ECB. The latest increase comes as Euro Zone economies flirt with recession
July 17, 2022 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
The dollar is likely to get another boost from the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank this week. On Thursday, the European Central Bank is likely to report its first interest-rate increase in more than a decade. But the increase is likely to be just 25 basis points. That will be a stark reminder of how far behind the Federal Reserve, which raised interest rates 75 basis points in June and is expected to increase rates by another 75 basis points at its July 27 meeting. On Thursday the Bank of Japan is expected to keep its benchmark interest rates at its current low, low, low level.
July 6, 2022 | Daily JAM, Uncategorized, Videos |
My one-hundred-and-fifty-fourth YouTube video “Strong Dollar Hits Stocks–3 Things to Do” went up today. The biggest factor driving falling prices in commodities (ahem, oil) is the rising strength of the dollar. Believe it or not, the US economy is faring better than other trading partners. That combined with rising interest rates makes for a stronger dollar. In this video, I provide three picks to address this issue as I continue to expect rate hikes from the Fed.
December 1, 2020 | Daily JAM |
The Dollar Spot Index (DXY) fell by 0.7% today to the lowest level in more than two years on the biggest drop in almost four weeks.
September 28, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Today, Monday, September 28, as of 1:15 p.m. New York time the Standard & Poor's 500 was up 1.60% to trade at 3352.78. Along with Friday's 1.60% gain in the index, I think that shows the market's downward momentum stalled for the moment. Only for the moment,...
August 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Of course,...
December 28, 2019 | Daily JAM |
...a short week of trading (duh!) without much going on (not even on the impeachment news front). But going into the new year, I'd advise watching the U.S. dollar. With optimism rising that the U.S. and China will at least reach a trade truce and that global trade...
September 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
If it had come to a formal vote, there's a good chance that European Central Bank President Mario Draghi would have faced defeat in his efforts to revive quantitative easing at the central bank. But the bank doesn't usually hold a formal vote on a issue like this and...
September 9, 2019 | Daily JAM |
Will the European Central Bank revive its program of bond-buying when it meets on Thursday? The bank only ended this program of quantitative easing in December. The markets are currently pricing in a new program of 40 billion euros a month in bond purchases--plus a...
September 4, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
As of 2 p.m. New York time U.S. stocks were higher on just about no meaningful news. To me it looks like the market wants to climb in the very near term--testing technical momentum to move to 2950 on the Standard & Poor's 500 and maybe beyond. The "reasons" being...
September 3, 2019 | Daily JAM |
It was the kind of session that only Parliament can produce: jeering, catcalls, and mid-speech by Prime Minister Boris Johnson the dramatic resignation of a Conservative member of Parliament who got up from his seat and walked over to join his new party the Liberal...
September 1, 2019 | Daily JAM |
... some things in the financial markets will be so similar to what they were before the Labor Day holiday that you might think you were never away at all. Not everything, though. Yes, the U.S.-China trade war will still be hanging fire. And the tariffs on $112...
