Special Report: 10 Best Picks for the Last Six Months of 2019
This isn't time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in...
Selling Finland ETF out of Volatility Portfolio on U.S.-China knock-on effect
I will sell the iShares MSCI Finland ETF (EFNL) out of my Volatility Portfolio tomorrow. The EuroZone in general and the Finnish economy in particular is heavily dependent on exports and the slowdown in the global economy resulting from the U.S.-China trade war isn't...
One consequence of the change in Fed policy likely to be a weaker dollar
A number of Wall Street and big international banks are forecasting a drop in the dollar as a result of the Fed's decision to back off on raising interest rates in 2019. Morgan Stanley, for example, says that the dollar has peaked and has forecast the yen climbing to...
European markets sink into bear today; I’m switching back to yen and selling the euro in my ETF Portfolio
Back on October 3 I switched from the Invesco Currency Shares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) to the Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA) in an effort to get a little more performance out of this slot in my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. (This ETF invest in both Japan and...
Notes You Need for November 26: Argentina, Italy budget, Treasury yields, MGM, Federal Reserve minutes, Salesforce, corporate bonds, BMY, AAPL
In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don't justify a full post. I've decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I'm calling Notes...
One more for the list: ECB starts countdown to euro decision on December 13
On December 13 the European Central Bank will decide whether to cap its $2.9 trillion program of bond buying as planned. The bank had decided that Europe's economy was strong enough for the central bank to wind down its purchases of bonds that have kept interest rates...
Markets decide they have nothing to fear except Treasury auctions, Italian budget, and U.S.-China trade war
Actually, considering the list of fears today, it's kind of remarkable that the U.S. stock market hasn't fallen farther. (The U.S. bond market is closed for the Columbus Day holiday.) In the EuroZone the confrontation between the Italian government and the European...
Re-buy Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets for my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio
Earlier today I sold the Invesco Currency Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) in my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. Now I'm replacing it with the Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA). The sell and the buy will cut the portfolio's exposure to the Japanese yen and increase its...
Sell Invesco Currency Shares Japanese Yen in my Perfect Five ETF Portfolio
As I wrote in the Bonus ETF section of my recent Special Report: 10 Picks for the Emerging Market Bounce I'm selling the Invesco Currency Shares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) out of my Perfect Five ETF Portfolio. I added this to the portfolio on July 17, 2018 to give me more...
Dollar fundamentals continue to erode
I don't think there's anything more important to financial markets--well, assuming we don't get some kind of completely off-the-wall black swan event--over the next three months or so than the strength or weakness of the dollar. My judgment on trends in the greenback...
A slip in the dollar and a bounce in the euro
The dollar is down today against the euro and some emerging market currencies, such as the Turkish lira, are rallying. The news ostensibly behind the move is some data indicating that U.S. inflation slipped in August. The logic goes that with inflation sliding the...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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