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Posts Tagged ‘GDP’

Goldilocks is alive and well, thanks to the U.S. consumer

The U.S. economy grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.1% in the second quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported this morning. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had projected that year over year growth in GDP would fall to 1.8%. So today's number is stronger than expected but still very much weaker than first […]

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A pause before tomorrow’s GDP report–and on worries about global growth

U.S. stocks paused as expected today ahead of tomorrow's initial report on growth in U.S. GDP for the second quarter. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com are expecting that GDP growth dipped to 1.8% year over year in the quarter, down from 3.1% in the first quarter. All 11 industry sectors in the S&P 500 closed lower […]

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Why stocks might pause this week

If there was ever a set up for a pause, this week is it. Last week, on June 20, the Standard & Poor's 500 hit an all time high. This week there's a lot of pending news to make investors nervous at this level of price in the market. It's time for caution--and maybe pulling […]

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GDP growth surprises at 3.2% in first quarter; economists question sustainability

The U.S. economy grew at a 3.2% real rate in the first quarter. That's substantially stronger than the 2.2% growth in the fourth quarter and way above projections for 1.9% growth among economists surveyed by Briefing.com. Inflation remained very subdued with the GDP Deflator showing inflation at 0.9%. Inflation by this measure was 1.7% in […]

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Durables orders good for stocks and economy

Orders for durable goods rose 0.4% in January, the Census Bureau reported this morning. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had projected a 0.6% decrease. Ex-transportation new orders, which means excluding volatile aircraft orders (for January remember and therefore this doesn't include the effects of the recent Boeing 737 Max crash), fell 0.1% against projections for a […]

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GDP grows at annualized 3.5% in third quarter, but…

Real GDP (that is GDP discounting any gains from inflation) increased at an annualized rate of 3.5% in the third quarter. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com were looking for 3.3% growth rate. In the second quarter GDP grew at an annualized rate of 4.2%. Big driver in the quarter was consumer spending, up 4.0%, the strongest […]

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Will 2nd quarter GDP report on Friday deliver convincing “good as it gets” message?

Wall Street and economists and the Trump administration and investors are expecting big good news in Friday's first report of second quarter GDP growth. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com projected 4.1% year over year growth for the quarter that ended in June. It's not hard to find voices calling for an even higher print. I've heard […]

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Second quarter GDP forecasts start to come back to earth

Not so long ago major economic forecasts such as the GDPNow forecast from the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank were calling for second quarter U.S. GDP to grow at an annual rate of better than 4%. That was extraordinarily strong growth and it fit in with forecasts from Wall Street analysts for better than 20% earnings […]

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Heady expectations for 4% second quarter GDP growth make lower first quarter revision irrelevant

The third revision for first quarter GDP, announced this morning, continued the pattern of lower growth with each update. The third revision showed annual GDP growth in the first quarter slowing to 2.0% from a prior 2.2%. Financial markets ordinarily don't care much about third revisions to GDP growth. The first quarter was a long […]

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Will GDP data take over market sentiment Friday?

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