August 23, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
Xi Jinping and Donald Trump upstaged Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell this morning. Powell's Jackson Hole speech this morning was supposed to be the day's big market event. (More on this speech in a later post.) But this morning China announced that it would...
August 20, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
It didn't take much to end the optimism of the past few days and turn the market at least mildly pessimistic today. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told CNBC this morning that Huawei Technologies isn't the only Chinese company that poses security risks to the...
August 19, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Gotta love that financial market enthusiasm for central banks. Last week the markets rallied on signals from the European Central Bank that it would cut its key interest rate--now at a negative 0.40%--to a negative -0.50%, lower the rates that banks pay to borrow...
August 14, 2019 | Daily JAM, GDX, IEF, Mid Term |
Last night I added Step #1 to my Special Report 5 Is Your Portfolio Ready for the Next Big? The post below is a cut and paste of the material I added to the Special Report. I'm posting it separately here to make it a bit more accessible. In my macro picture, I wrote,...
August 14, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
As of noon today New York time, the Standard & Poor's 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are both down 2.42%. The NASDAQ Composite is lower by 2.78%. The Russell 2000 small cap index has tumbled 2.66%. And the iShare MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) has...
August 9, 2019 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility |
This post should be song to the tune of "A Fine Romance." (It helps if you can dance like Fred Astaire. Or sing like Ella.) "A fine romance, with no kisses A fine romance, my friend, this is We should be like a couple of hot tomatoes But you're as cold as yesterday's...
August 7, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Shares of Apple (AAPL) climbed 0.21% to lead the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) higher by 0.40% as of 2 p.m. trading in New York. That helped disguise what is otherwise a return to the risk off trading of Monday after Tuesday's rally--although with smaller...
August 6, 2019 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
Is a Recession coming? I don't mean "someday." Someday the sun will go nova but I don't need to price that in to my investment strategy. But a Recession in 2020 or 2021? That's something to take into account. And to prepare for to the degree possible. Or a Credit...
August 5, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
For the last few weeks I've been working to shift gears in my online portfolios in anticipation of a tougher market after the Federal Reserve meeting (and a likely additional interest rate cut) on September 18. I've added Treasury ETFs--the Vanguard Intermediate-term...
August 5, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
We suspend our usual programming to cover the developing financial market and likely economic reaction to China's decision to let the yuan tumble in retaliation to President Donald Trump's decision last week to place a 10% tariff on an additional $300 billion in...
July 29, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
We don't know--precisely--what the Federal Reserve will do at the meeting of its interest-rating-setting Open Market Committee on Wednesday July 31. The odds on the CME FedWatch Tool say there's a 100% chance of an interest rate cut but there's still disagreement...
July 25, 2019 | AG, Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
Way back last Friday, July 19, in my Friday Trick or Trend post on JubakAM.com, I argued for adding silver to a portfolio because 1) it is a good hedge for portfolios in the second half of 2019, and because 2) silver, after lagging gold for the first half of 2019 ,...
