When I bought Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) back on June 28, 2021, I thought the stock was moderately over-valued. But that, like many over-valued stocks with momentum, it would move higher. I set a target price then of $596 a share. Well, moderately over-valued has become more seriously over-valued. Morningstar calculates that the stock traded at a 37% premium before the 2.79% gain today, November 29.
On what looks like solid odds for interest rate increases in 2022, I’m selling my remaining Treasury ETFs out of my portfolios.
It was sure hard to see a market melt up today, November 22. The Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.32% and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.26%. Market leaders in the melt up rally like Applied Materials (AMAT) and Microsoft (MSFT) were down 1.65% and 0.96%, respectively. And it was even harder to see the trend I thought might be on its way in my Friday, November 19 post “Forward into the past with tech stocks:We’re seen this market before.” The rotation into tech stocks that I saw on Friday turned into loses of 3.12% for Nvidia (NVDA), and 1.92% for Alphabet (GOOG.)
But I suggest that you take a look at Apple’s (AAPL) performance today
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), one of the hottest momentum stocks in the melt-up market, seems to have recovered its trend. So I’m adding the shares to my Volatility Portfolio on Monday. Please regard this as a short-term trade.The company’s fundamentals also look solid with very good growth prospects from the new chip line up. So I’ll be adding the shares to my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio on Monday.
I wouldn’t call the Glasgow Global Climate Summit, which wraps up on November 12, a failure. The pledge to reduce methane emissions is an important step forward: Methane is an extremely powerful global warming gas. And the promise of a big step up in global reforestation is also a solid contribution to the fight to keep the earth habitable for human beings. But I think it is safe to say that the progress out of the conference isn’t enough. Which is why I’m adding shares of General Holdings (GNRC) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio on Monday, November 8.
Expect a scramble this week as Wall Street tries to identify the winners from the $1.2 trillion ($550 billion in new money) infrastructure bill passed by the House of Representatives (finally) late on Friday night. President Joe Biden will sign the bill, which passed the Senate in August, early in the coming week. Frankly, the bill has been so long in the baking that I had forgotten what was in it. So I looked it up. (And I’ve suggested some potential stock market winners from this new spending.)
When I started Special Report for how to Buy on the Dip, What to Buy on the Dip and When to Buy on the Dip I was only looking to have three strategies (and 10 picks). The more I look at the current market, the more complex it seems with more moving parts that could generate an Oh, No! moment for this stock or that stock. Which is why I’ve added a fourth strategy, one I’m calling “The China bomb” and four more picks to my Buy on the Dip Special Report.
I bought Ericsson (ERIC) back on August 5, 2020 because of the growth it would see, I thought, from the roll out of the next generation –5G–of wireless systems. The problem for the company–and the stock–is that it has been hit hard the global battle between China (which has championed its own equipment vendors) and Sweden and other Western governments that worry that Chinese equipment suppliers such as Huawei with their close ties to the Chinese government and its military pose a security threat to their telecom networks.
So far Ford Motor (F) is meeting the expectations I had when I added it to the Jubak Picks Portfolio on June 9, 2021. Today, Wednesday, October 27, the company raised its earnings forecast (EBITDA) for 2121 to $10.5 billion to $11.5 billion on an improved supply of chips, and strong demand for its cars, especially for the electric versions of its Mustang and F150 pickup. The company also reinstated a quarterly dividend-
Yes, we want to buy on the dip. Whenever we get a significant dip. (And significant to me is 5% or more in the major indexes–and 10% or more in specific sectors.) But, we need new strategies for buying on the dip that take into account the market’s valuation problem, the central bank tightening that looks to be in the cards, and the real possibility of a dip in growth below forecasts in 2022. I’ve got fouir strategies to suggest for buying in this market on these dips. And 14 picks to use to execute those strategies.
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My fifty-ninth YouTube video “QuickPick: Orsted” went up today
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is now down 8.7% from its September 16 peak. The slump comes as investors and traders sell on fears of supply-chain problems in the sector and especially in the memory chip market. The drop has left the index testing its 200-day moving average, a support level that hasn’t been challenged since May of 2020.
