Selling remaining Treasury ETFs out of my portfolios
On what looks like solid odds for interest rate increases in 2022, I’m selling my remaining Treasury ETFs out of my portfolios.
On what looks like solid odds for interest rate increases in 2022, I’m selling my remaining Treasury ETFs out of my portfolios.
It was sure hard to see a market melt up today, November 22. The Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.32% and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.26%. Market leaders in the melt up rally like Applied Materials (AMAT) and Microsoft (MSFT) were down 1.65% and 0.96%, respectively. And it was even harder to see the trend I thought might be on its way in my Friday, November 19 post “Forward into the past with tech stocks:We’re seen this market before.” The rotation into tech stocks that I saw on Friday turned into loses of 3.12% for Nvidia (NVDA), and 1.92% for Alphabet (GOOG.)
But I suggest that you take a look at Apple’s (AAPL) performance today
Back in October when I made Oatly Group (OTLY) the No. 4 pick in my Buy on the Dip Special Report, I advised waiting until after the company’s November 15 earnings report because there was a good chance that the company would miss estimates and disappoint on guidance. Exactly. Today the company did both and the stock dropped 20.8% on the day. That’s a big one-day plunge, especially since even before today’s beating the stock was down 59% formats June 11, 2021 high. I think it’s safe to say that much of the risk is now out of these shares
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), one of the hottest momentum stocks in the melt-up market, seems to have recovered its trend. So I’m adding the shares to my Volatility Portfolio on Monday. Please regard this as a short-term trade.The company’s fundamentals also look solid with very good growth prospects from the new chip line up. So I’ll be adding the shares to my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio on Monday.
Expect a scramble this week as Wall Street tries to identify the winners from the $1.2 trillion ($550 billion in new money) infrastructure bill passed by the House of Representatives (finally) late on Friday night. President Joe Biden will sign the bill, which passed the Senate in August, early in the coming week. Frankly, the bill has been so long in the baking that I had forgotten what was in it. So I looked it up. (And I’ve suggested some potential stock market winners from this new spending.)
Shares of Sangamo Therapeutics (SGMO) closed 19.15% higher today, November 4, on good news from multiple clinical trials at the gene therapy company.
When I started Special Report for how to Buy on the Dip, What to Buy on the Dip and When to Buy on the Dip I was only looking to have three strategies (and 10 picks). The more I look at the current market, the more complex it seems with more moving parts that could generate an Oh, No! moment for this stock or that stock. Which is why I’ve added a fourth strategy, one I’m calling “The China bomb” and four more picks to my Buy on the Dip Special Report.
Investors and traders are showing no interest in paying to hedge risk in this market–even though we’re again near the all-time high for the Standard & Poor’s 500. Today, as of 3 p.m. New York time the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) has dropped another 3.31% to 15.77. That puts the index back in my buying range and today I’m adding the December 22 VIX Call Option with a strike price of $18 (VIX211222C00018000) to my Volatility Portfolio.
Yes, we want to buy on the dip. Whenever we get a significant dip. (And significant to me is 5% or more in the major indexes–and 10% or more in specific sectors.) But, we need new strategies for buying on the dip that take into account the market’s valuation problem, the central bank tightening that looks to be in the cards, and the real possibility of a dip in growth below forecasts in 2022. I’ve got fouir strategies to suggest for buying in this market on these dips. And 14 picks to use to execute those strategies.
In last week’s Trend of the Week video, my newest video series on YouTube< I recommended buying shares of shipping companies as a way to profit from the chaos--and rising prices--in the global supply chain.
Huge surge in volatility this morning. It’s as if everybody woke up and said, “Hey, you know there are risky trends in the world.” As of 12:30 p.m. New York time today, Monday, September 20, the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index is up 29.51% to $26.08. I think there’s more volatility ahead so today I’m going to sell the VIX November 17 Call Options with a strike price of 18 in my Volatility Portfolio and buy some more time with a purchase of the VIX December 22 Call Options with a strike price of 19.