April 3, 2021 | Daily JAM, MGM, QSR, WH |
This week will bring positioning for what’s looking like a record quarter for earnings growth for the first quarter of 2021 that’s likely to keep the stock market trend pointing upward. The first earnings report for the quarter are due from the big banks on April 14 and 15.
On April 1 FactSet reported that the bottom-up analyst earnings projection for the stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 for the first quarter had climbed 6% as the quarter itself progressed. That’s the biggest increase in analyst projections since FactSet began tracking quarterly bottom-up earnings estimates in the second quarter of 2002. Normally, analyst estimates slip downwards as the quarter progresses with the average decrease of the last five years at 4.2%
What we’re looking at the the possibility of an almost unbelievable surge in earnings in the first quarter of 2021, the second quarter, and for the whole year–caused by year-to-year comparisons with the pandemic recession in these quarters of 2020.
April 1, 2021 | Daily JAM, MGM, QSR, Videos, WH |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The seventeenth YouTube video “3 picks for earnings” went up today.
March 15, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, MGM |
Shares of MGM Resorts International (MGM) are up 15.16% since I added them to my Jubak Picks Portfolio on February 11, 2021. I don’t think the gains are done for this casino and hotel stock. Today I’m raising my target price to $48 a share from the current $42
February 11, 2021 | Daily JAM, MGM, Millennial |
I’m taking advantage of today’s drop in shares of MGM Resorts International (MGM) after yesterday’s earnings report to add these shares to my new Millennial Portfolio. The stock dropped on bad pandemic performance from the company’s Las Vegas casinos and resorts and a slide in revenue from its Macao operations. But revenue from online betting soared. And that business is the future of MGM–and the reason that investors with long-time horizons would want to own this stock. (And it won’t hurt at all, when revenue picks up from Las Vegas operations once the pandemic is in the rear-view mirror.
January 28, 2021 | AG, Daily JAM, DIS, FCX, FQVLF, GDX, GOLD, Jubak Picks, MGM, Morning Briefing, SCCO, Top 50 Stocks |
U.S. GDP growth slowed in the fourth quarter, gaining just 1% from the third quarter. For the full year the U.S. economy contracted by 3.5%. That makes 2020 the first time that the economy has contracted for a full year since 2009 and the Great Recession. At the bottom of that recession that economy contracted by 2.5%. 2020 is also the worst year for economic growth since 1946 when the economy shrank by 11.6% as the country demobilized after World War II. Consumer spending slowed in all 15 categories tracked by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The sectors that had powered the recovery in the third quarter–restaurants and hotels, for instance–reversed. The growth in spending on cars and health car also slowed from the acceleration in the third quarter. So why is this good news as far as the stock market is concerned?
December 28, 2018 | Daily JAM, MGM, Stock Alerts |
If you're thinking of doing some bottom fishing in a belief that the bear market might be nearing a bottom or that the recent Santa Claus rally could last into the first half of January, I'd suggest you take a look at some charts, either of individual stocks or of...
November 26, 2018 | ADSK, AMAT, CRM, Daily JAM, MGM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The huge bounce on Wednesday, November 21, isn't a guarantee of another bounce. But it does testify that a bounce is possible in this market. It tells us something about the likely conditions for a bounce--low volume days of the sort that are increasingly frequent at...
June 25, 2018 | Daily JAM, MGM, Stock Alerts |
I still believe in all the catalysts that I touted for MGM Resorts International (MGM) for late this year--yes, the company's new Macao casino will give the company more exposure to that market, yes, a wave of states legalizing sports gambling plays to MGM's...
June 15, 2018 | Daily JAM, MGM, Stock Alerts |
Shares of MGM Resorts International (MGM) peaked for 2018 (so far) at $38.03 on January 29, 2018 and since then the trend has been brutally downward. The stock's 50-day moving average broke below its 200-day moving average (a moment that technical analysts called the...
February 19, 2018 | Daily JAM, MGM, Stock Alerts |
Tomorrow's earnings report from MGM Resorts International (MGM) could be make or break for the call options that I hold on this stock in my Volatility Portfolio. The options have been all over the block in recent weeks from up 50% to down 30% on market volatility and...
December 12, 2017 | Daily JAM, MGM, Stock Alerts |
The first ten days of December have been strong for gaming revenue in Macao. That has led investment company Sanford Bernstein to project that gaming revenue in Macao will climb 21% to 23% for the month. That would be stronger than expected--and bodes well for...
December 5, 2017 | Daily JAM, MGM, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...