June 25, 2021 | Daily JAM, VIX, Volatility |
Investors and traders are less afraid of a drop in stocks than at any time in 2021. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX), which measures how much investors and traders are willing to pay to hedge against volatility in the S&P 500, is down another 3.32% to 15.44 today, June 25, as of 3:30 p.m. New York time. The drop took out the former low for the VIX for 2021 at 15.65. I have to go all the way back to February 10, 2020–before the pandemic knocked the stuffing out of stocks–to find a lower level for the “fear index” at 13.68. So today I’m buying Call Options on the VIX–which will go up if fear and the index climb for November 2021 with a strike at 19.
June 24, 2021 | CAT, Daily JAM, DE, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks, Videos, VMC |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twenty-ninth YouTube video “5 stock picks for the infrastructure deal” went up today.
June 24, 2021 | CAT, Daily JAM, DE, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks, VMC |
The White House has announced that it has struck an infrastructure deal with a bipartisan group of 10 Senators. There are almost no details on the deal and it’s not at all clear that President Biden will be able to convince the progressive wing of his own party to support the deal. On the other side of the aisle, Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell has not endorsed the deal. As I do the math, if only the 5 Republican Senators who were part of the negotiating group vote for the deal in the Senate, it will fail to clear the 60-vote threshold necessary for passage if McConnell and other Republicans decide to filibuster the legislation. All that aside, today the usual infrastructure stocks gained.
June 23, 2021 | COPX, Daily JAM, Dividend Income, FCX, FQVLF, Jubak Picks, Millennial, SCCO, Top 50 Stocks |
Copper stocks have been moving steadily higher recently in anticipation of a turn in the eight week downward trend in the price of copper itself. Today, the price of copper is showing some of the upward movement that the rally in copper stocks anticipated.
June 22, 2021 | Daily JAM, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
If you’re building a portfolio and want e-commerce exposure, you buy Amazon (AMZN). For smartphones, you buy a stake in Apple (AAPL). For electric cars, it’s Tesla (TSLA). There’s a small group of stocks that are “must own” stocks for any growth portfolio because they encapsulate a key growth trend. I’d now add Nvidia to the list.
June 21, 2021 | Daily JAM, Dividend Income, FCX, Jubak Picks, NVDA, SCCO, Short Term, Special Reports, Top 50 Stocks, Volatility |
After Wednesday’s news from the Federal Reserve, we all know that an interest rate increase is coming–even if we don’t know when. Could be 2022. Could be 2023. And even if we don’t know how many increases we’re looking for in that time period. Could be one. Could be two. The need to revise your portfolio to take that change in monetary policy is obvious. But figuring out how and when isn’t by any means straightforward. What gives? And how should be navigate a period that is almost certainly going to end with a reversal of the lower for longer interest rates that have dominated asset prices for decades? Today, for the last installment in my Special Report: “5 Picks and 5 Hedges for a Falling Market” I’m going to take one last run at how to hedge this market and how to position your portfolio for the developing trends. (I don’t have much hope that this will be the last time I’m visiting this topic, of course.)
June 16, 2021 | Daily JAM, F, GM, Jubak Picks |
General Motors (GM) will boost global spending on electric and autonomous vehicles to $35 billion through 2025. That’s a 30% jump over its last spending plan, Reuters reported today.
June 9, 2021 | Daily JAM, F, Jubak Picks |
Today I made Ford (F) my fifth pick for a falling market in my Special Report: Five Picks and Five Hedges for a Falling Market on my JubakAM.com subscription site. Some of the logic of that pick is laid in n more detail in the Special Report. With momentum stocks showing signs of flagging, I think adding more value stocks or special situations with very specific growth “events” set to trigger a cascade of good news is indicated. In the case of Ford the company is building good momentum on its introduction of popular electric vehicles such as an electric Mustang and an electric F150 pickup truck.
June 7, 2021 | Daily JAM, EQNR, Millennial |
I’m using the rise of oil prices to near $70 a barrel on optimism about a post-pandemic increase in oil prices to sell Equinor (EQNR) out of my Millennial Portfolio.
June 4, 2021 | CLII, Daily JAM |
Once upon a time, way back in 2020 Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPAC), blind pools that raised money with a strategy of finding s promising still-private company to acquire and then take public, were the hottest thing on the speculative menu. They were, if I can make a comparison, the GameStops (GME) and AMCs (AMC) of that market. Then they fell way, way out of favor. But they look to be making a comeback in the last week
June 2, 2021 | Daily JAM, DNNGY, Jubak Picks, SMOG, VWDRY |
I don’t think 2021 is going to be an especially good year for Tesla and it will be tough across the auto industry. That means, if I’m right, that this ETF’s heavy exposure to Tesla (and to Nio) is going to be a drag on what I see as a likely recovery in the wind power stocks Iberdrola, Orsted, and Vestas Wind Systems that all are top 10 portfolio holdings in the ETF. I’d rather play any wind power rally through these stocks–I own Orsted (DNNGY) and Vestas (VWDRY) in my Jubak Picks Portfolio–than though this ETF with its drag from Tesla in 2021. I will sell the VanEck Vectors Low Carbon Energy ETF out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio tomorrow June 3.
May 27, 2021 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, TSM |
Chip lead times, the gap between ordering a chip and taking delivery, increased to 17 weeks in April, indicating users are getting more desperate to secure supply, according to research by Susquehanna Financial Group. That is the longest wait since the firm began tracking the data in 2017.